It is another hot start to the day, after one of our more high end heat and humidity combination days yesterday. Our Excessive Heat Warning continues for the entire state, and while the day is starting off cloudy for some with some showers along the northern portion of the state, this is not expected to significantly impact forecasted high temperatures.
As mentioned above, clouds have overspread the state again today. These clouds have pretty much eliminated the chance of topping 100 degrees, but high end heat is still anticipated. We'll have to see how much the clouds are eroded by drier air working in. Overall, today is another scorcher, and you should remain hydrated. Even with showers in parts of the state now, the chance of showers later this afternoon is low.
The heat wave ends on Sunday. By early Monday we're watching a cold front pushing into the region. Along that boundary, we should see an area of low pressure develop, which will enhance the rain chances. As a result, we're likely to see widespread showers and some thunderstorms possible on each day. I think the heaviest rain is centered on Monday afternoon/evening into Tuesday. Both days will require an umbrella.
The second half of the week looks fantastic. The front is expected to depart from the region and an unusually strong trough is expected to sweep in and provide more comfortable conditions. Dew points and humidity will drop sharply, and although our temperatures will be seasonably warm, it will feel much better. Rain chances look very low through the period and we should see beautiful conditions. You can see this well in the 850mb temperatures. I included a longer loop to show you just how hot our 850mb temperatures were this weekend.
Next weekend is looking great right now, but we do look to warm up as a ridge begins to build again. So far, it doesn't look nearly as hot as this past weekend. With ridging in place, it looks mostly clear in terms of conditions, but we'll have to wait and see if the ridge orientation will create more favorable conditions for daytime thunderstorms.
Today: Partly cloudy with hot and humid conditions. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Chance of rain 20%.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and thunderstorms. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of rain 60%.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. Chance of rain 80%.
Wednesday: Decreasing clouds and comfortable conditions. Highs in the low 80s.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and comfortable. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
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