Good afternoon to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!
Today is one of those days where location matters. In most of the state, cloudy but dry conditions prevail. In southeastern Connecticut however, many have seen wet conditions, and this is likely to continue off and on during the day and into the evening as a low continues to track along the cold front that recently passed through the state. Temperatures are in the upper 40s to low 50s, as the colder air that was once thought to arrive early on Sunday lags a bit behind schedule.
Now, onto Thanksgiving week! In a word, beautiful. Computer guidance is in excellent agreement that an area of high pressure builds over southern New England for Monday and Tuesday, bringing seasonably cold, but sunny weather. As I said in my prior discussion, it will feel like the holiday season has arrived, with daytime temperatures on Monday and Tuesday in the upper 30s to low 40s and nighttime lows in the 20s for most. We get warmer Wednesday through Friday, as high pressure moves offshore and we see warmer flow. Temperatures are likely to be above normal and in the 50s Thursday and Friday. Friday should be the warmest day of the week, with temperatures close to 60! If you are one of the millions that will be traveling along the east coast during this time, you’re in luck. Dry conditions look to be in charge throughout the I-95 corridor through most of Friday. By the weekend, a cold front and upper level trough looks to approach, but timing and how potent the front will be remains unclear. The last few model runs have been less impressive with frontal passage. After the front passes, cooler air looks to enter the picture for at least a day or two as we close out meteorological fall and begin December and meteorological winter!
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Seasonably cold. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Lows in the mid to upper 20s. Wednesday: Mostly sunny and slightly warmer. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Lows in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Thanksgiving Day: Mostly sunny and seasonably warm. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Lows in the mid to upper 30s.
Friday: Partly sunny to start with increasing clouds and showers possible by the evening. Seasonably warm. Highs in the upper 50s to around 60. Lows in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 30%. Saturday: Rain showers possible depending on the progression of the cold front. Highs in the low to mid 50s. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 40%.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Showers possible depending on the progression of the cold front. Highs in the low 50s. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 10%.
Forecast Confidence: High confidence Monday through early Friday. Low confidence Saturday and Sunday.
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