For everyone who could get to the beach, way to take advantage of the heat today! As for the rest of us, unfortunately we will have to wait a while until for some more summer heat. Cooler temperatures and rainy times lay ahead for our first week of June.
A weak cold front to our north slowly will track south through CT by the nighttime. Chance for a passing isolated shower statewide this evening. As temperatures cool behind the front, and an onshore flow prevails, there is a chance for fog to develop along the coastlines which would eventually dissipate by mid-morning Wednesday.
The upper level ridge that brought us our sunny weather Tuesday will slowly make its way off the coast, and that will be evident during the day Wednesday. An onshore flow coupled with partly cloudy skies will make for a cooler day, with highs likely in the mid 70s. By the evening, high level clouds will move in, ahead of a warm front that will be our next weather maker.
Thursday - Friday
As warm, moist air overrides cooler air, the lift of the warmer air will cause the formation of clouds and precip. This is exactly what will happen with the warm front that will pass through late Thursday afternoon. Expect showers for the latter half of the day, with temperatures staying fairly cool below the seasonal average, around the 60s.
Showers should continue overnight into Friday, and taper off Friday midday. Temperatures will climb higher than they did Thursday, into the upper 70s, but expect a muggy day as models suggest dewpoint temperatures to be high as well. Friday night a cold front is suggested to pass through, and right now the GFS is suggesting convective precip with the front. It is expected to be mostly cloudy once showers taper off Friday afternoon, but if the sun is able to peak itself through the clouds, it could help destabilize the atmosphere and bring thundershowers through the state. As of right now though, under the assumption that the models are correct with cloud cover, we should expect convective rain showers Friday night.
Our cold front moving southeast Saturday will encounter a north-bound warm front, and the cultivation of a stationary front across New Jersey seems inevitable according to model consensus. Stationary fronts are notorious for moving very slow, and unfortunately this stationary front will very slowly track northward. This will mean a chance for showers and cloudy weather all weekend, with temperatures in the upper 60s from Sunday to Tuesday. The front doesn’t look to move out of New England until Tuesday night next week, and will be the major influencer on our weather for the latter half of this forecast.
(Here is the GFS showing the cold front moving through the state, then encountering the northbound warm front to form the stationary front. Notice how it takes four days to move out of the area.)
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Thursday: Cloudy. Showers in the evening. Highs in the upper 60s.
Friday: Showers tapering off midday. Chance for rain late Friday night. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s.
Saturday: Cloudy. Highs in the 70s.
Sunday: Slight chance for showers. Highs in the upper 60s.
Monday: Slight chance for showers. Highs in the upper 60s.
Tuesday: Chance for rain. Highs in the upper 60s.
Thank you for reading and enjoy your evening!