Here’s a look at the current radar.
A backdoor cold front will move through the state this evening, bringing an end to the showers and also bringing much cooler air in it’s wake. Highs tomorrow will be spring-like in nature, with temps only reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s tomorrow. Expect another day of rain chances tomorrow, with the potential for thunderstorms in the afternoon once again; the highest severe risk tomorrow will likely be further south (out of our forecast area), but the potential for a couple of isolated strong to severe storms is still present.
Here’s a look at the backdoor front on the GFS. You can see the warmer air to our south and west, the colder air(the meat of the front) up in Maine, and us in the battleground zone in the middle as the front is right over us, hence the continuous chance of showers.
Your weekend begins with a weak low pressure system giving way to weak high pressure for the back half of your weekend, resulting in a slight chance of some showers on Saturday and mostly dry conditions on Sunday. Both models are in relatively good agreement, but the GFS is a bit more aggressive with precipitation than the Euro and keeps showers around most of Saturday, while the Euro limits any precipitation to just a few showers on Saturday morning. For now, I will split the difference and go with a chance of showers, but would argue that a bust would likely lean more towards the GFS than the Euro. Regardless, there will be many hours of dryness on Saturday and Sunday should be uniformly dry across the state, and with warm temperatures in the mid 80s, it should be a great weekend to hit the beach, the lake, or the pool for some summertime fun!
Another frontal system looks to approach the area for early next week. The models generally keep the front south and west of us, but both the GFS and the Euro show areas of precipitation making it into our area at times. Will include a slight chance of showers to account for this; otherwise, near seasonable temps in the mid 80s are expected.
Friday: Showers likely, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday: A slight chance of showers, otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday: Partly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 80s.
Monday: A slight chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 20%
Tuesday: A chance of showers, otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Chance of precipitation is 20%
As an aside, I was looking through my last couple of discussions today and it seems like every week I write the same thing for your weekend forecast; a chance of rain, but still plenty of weather for outdoor activities. This week we finally broke the streak of cooler weather earlier in the week and then warmer weather later in the week, so hopefully we can get a completely dry weekend(although this one will be pretty close) soon enough! In the meantime, enjoy the weekend you’ve got and thanks for reading SCW!