Southern Connecticut Weather
  • Home
  • Forecaster Discussion
  • SCW Social Media Hub
  • SCW Facebook
  • About Us/Contact Us

...A LITTLE TASTE OF WINTER, AND A CHILLY START TO APRIL...

4/1/2021

Comments

 


Disc: High-latitude blocking has set up across the northern latitudes.  This translates to cooler than normal weather across the Northeast.  It does not always mean very stormy weather, but if there are storms, they tend to move slower than normal.

Currently: Cold front well offshore.  High pressure sprawling across the Plains and a low over Nova Scotia producing strong winds w/the gradient.  

Tonight: I'll go a deg or two below temp guidance.  We won't achieve max radiational cooling, due to strong winds and varying amounts of clouds.  But at the same time, there is good CAA, so that argues for going a bit below guidance.  Lows should be in the upper 20s.

Tomorrow: Will continue the trend of going a deg or two lower than guidance, due to continued CAA and mostly cloudy skies.   Highs barely get to 40 degrees for most of the state, maybe 40-45 along I 91.  Streamers coming off the Great Lakes could also produce a stray snow flurry, esp in the NW Hills.

Tomorrow Night/Sat: Sat could turn out to be the nicest day of the weekend.  Temps close to guidance, no reason to quibble.  Highs generally near 50, maybe 50-55 in the I 91 corridor.  Winds diminish.

Long Term (Sun and beyond): During this period, we will really begin to feel the effects of the block.  Guidance, esp upper level guidance, has come in significantly colder for Sun.  An Alberta Clipper system will track well to our N.  This system could produce a rogue sprinkle, flurry, or even sleet shower, but most of its precip should stay to the N.  NBM guidance has not yet caught up yet (prob due to a few warm ENS members), but nearly all op guidance has cooled significantly.  Therefore, I will take off 5 to 8 deg off the NBM guidance.  I will expect high temps to be mainly in the upper 40s, with maybe a few low 50s along I 91.

Mon looks to be a fairly nice day.  I have gone fairly close to temp guidance, w/just a local adjustment here or there.  Behind the clipper, we could see winds gusting to 30 MPH.  Temps should get into the upper 50s, maybe a few 60+ readings along I 91.

For Tue, a nice day w/diminishing winds.  I've gone a couple deg cooler than NBM guidance.  I still think there are a few ENS members in there that do not recognize the block.  Even so, a nice day, w/highs in the low 60s and lots of sun.

For Wed, high pressure overhead, heights rise a bit.  Temp guidance looks good, w/just some local adjustments.  Highs generally around 60, coolest near the S coast, w/sea breeze development expected.

For Thu, heights continue to rise, but clouds increase, so probably a wash there.  Guidance temps again generally accepted w/a few local adjustments.  Once again, expect highs around 60, coolest at the S coast.  Again looks like a good day for sea breeze development.

This is just beyond our long term period, but a low passing to our west could bring good amounts of rain Fri.  This could be the beginning of many days of at least some rain.  In blocky patterns, you get long dry spells and long wet spells.  This fcst period is a good example thereof.  I would bet on generally below norm temps in the long range until we can get rid of the block.

No graphics needed today.  I really have nothing to show, as the probability of measurable precip is quite low thru day 7.  Otherwise, take care, and I'll see you next week!

-GP!
Comments

    Archives

    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014

    Categories

    All
    Tropical Weather
    Winter Forecast

    Authors

    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

Picture
Copyright Southern Connecticut Weather 2018, all rights reserved. 
For website related inquiries, email us at support@southernconnecticutweather.com

Privacy Policy/Terms of Service