Southern Connecticut Weather
  • Home
  • Forecaster Discussion
  • SCW Social Media Hub
  • SCW Facebook
  • About Us/Contact Us

Accumulating snow for Eastern CT possible this morning. UPDATE 829 AM 11/2: Radar looks further east compared to models, as a result, not expecting much more than some flurries or a brief snow shower. 

11/2/2014

Comments

 
8:30 AM Update: Radar seems fairly far east compared to last nights modeling therefore, snow chances are placed further east as well. Therefore, don't think we're expecting any accumulating snow in the state anymore, although some flurries/"white rain" is still possible in far eastern sections. 

Look for a full update later today!
-SA
Picture

Good early early morning to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!

The 0z models came in significantly further west with the second portion of the event that's been impacting the state over the last 24 hours or so. What happened is that the f irst low from the storm dissipated quicker than expected, allowing the second part of the storm to conversely strengthen quicker than expected and therefore be allowed to be captured and tugged NW, leading to a further west expanse of the precipitation shield. The main change to the forecast is for MA, where several inches of snow is now expected from nothing earlier today, but some snow might work it's way back into Eastern parts of the state, mainly confined to Windham and New London counties. We're going with a trace to two inches of snow on the graphical forecast, with the actual number likely falling down towards the bottom of that range, but we expanded the upper end of it a bit to account for any further west shifts. There is a slim possibility that if the 6z and 12z guidance continues to shift west, we will have to up these totals, but it's just as likely that those models shift east and we see little/nothing. In short, this is a very low confidence forecast.


Below are the total snowfall maps from the 0z RGEM, GGEM(Has similar precip to the GFS but is very warm and thus no snow, not believing that solution right now), NAM, and GFS. EURO is similar to the GFS, perhaps a little further east, but we can't post it due to copyright issues. Click on each image to enlarge it.



As you can see, there's still a lot of uncertainty in the individual models both in terms of totals and extent.  as to which the precip makes it west. We'll keep an eye on radar and guidance overnight, and update in the morning if any changes need to be made.

Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies expected tomorrow, highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s, and strong winds. A Wind Advisory in effect from the entire state from NWS until tomorrow evening. We'll do another discussion tomorrow touching on the week ahead, until then, stay warm and stay tuned for updates!
-SA
Comments

    Archives

    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014

    Categories

    All
    Tropical Weather
    Winter Forecast

    Authors

    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

Picture
Copyright Southern Connecticut Weather 2018, all rights reserved. 
For website related inquiries, email us at support@southernconnecticutweather.com

Privacy Policy/Terms of Service