8:30 AM Update: Radar seems fairly far east compared to last nights modeling therefore, snow chances are placed further east as well. Therefore, don't think we're expecting any accumulating snow in the state anymore, although some flurries/"white rain" is still possible in far eastern sections.
Look for a full update later today!
-SA
Look for a full update later today!
-SA
Good early early morning to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!
The 0z models came in significantly further west with the second portion of the event that's been impacting the state over the last 24 hours or so. What happened is that the f irst low from the storm dissipated quicker than expected, allowing the second part of the storm to conversely strengthen quicker than expected and therefore be allowed to be captured and tugged NW, leading to a further west expanse of the precipitation shield. The main change to the forecast is for MA, where several inches of snow is now expected from nothing earlier today, but some snow might work it's way back into Eastern parts of the state, mainly confined to Windham and New London counties. We're going with a trace to two inches of snow on the graphical forecast, with the actual number likely falling down towards the bottom of that range, but we expanded the upper end of it a bit to account for any further west shifts. There is a slim possibility that if the 6z and 12z guidance continues to shift west, we will have to up these totals, but it's just as likely that those models shift east and we see little/nothing. In short, this is a very low confidence forecast.
Below are the total snowfall maps from the 0z RGEM, GGEM(Has similar precip to the GFS but is very warm and thus no snow, not believing that solution right now), NAM, and GFS. EURO is similar to the GFS, perhaps a little further east, but we can't post it due to copyright issues. Click on each image to enlarge it.
As you can see, there's still a lot of uncertainty in the individual models both in terms of totals and extent. as to which the precip makes it west. We'll keep an eye on radar and guidance overnight, and update in the morning if any changes need to be made.
Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies expected tomorrow, highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s, and strong winds. A Wind Advisory in effect from the entire state from NWS until tomorrow evening. We'll do another discussion tomorrow touching on the week ahead, until then, stay warm and stay tuned for updates!
-SA
Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies expected tomorrow, highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s, and strong winds. A Wind Advisory in effect from the entire state from NWS until tomorrow evening. We'll do another discussion tomorrow touching on the week ahead, until then, stay warm and stay tuned for updates!
-SA
