Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather...
After a late January and February snow blitz which brought us above normal snowfall to date, things are finally starting to slow down...after our next minor snow event. Tomorrow will bring snow to northern and western CT before everyone changes to rain, and the balance of the work week is looking warmer and quiet. Let's dive in.
After a late January and February snow blitz which brought us above normal snowfall to date, things are finally starting to slow down...after our next minor snow event. Tomorrow will bring snow to northern and western CT before everyone changes to rain, and the balance of the work week is looking warmer and quiet. Let's dive in.
The 3k NAM depiction of tomorrow's event. It looks like much of CT will see a period of moderate to possibly heavy snow for a brief period tomorrow afternoon before things change to rain. We're not expecting a high impact event.
Monday
Tomorrow brings another storm and another chance for accumulating snow. A system will move through the region, bringing warmer air overrunning the colder surface. The result will be a period of snow that may be moderate to heavy for a brief period tomorrow afternoon between approximately 11am and 3pm that will quickly change to rain between 3-7pm as the precipitation departs. The hill towns in western and eastern CT may hold onto snow the longest, and there may not be much of any accumulation along the shoreline, especially in eastern areas, where it may be a very quick flip from snowflakes to raindrops. It'll be breezy as well, but not enough for any real power issues.
The timing makes this tricky, as there could be snow falling during part of the afternoon commute, but we think temperatures near to above freezing rather than in the 20s will help mitigate road problems. That said, definitely be careful on the roads as we could see some slick spots.
Overall, we expect no accumulation for SE CT, with a light coating to 2" elsewhere mostly on grass, and 1-3 inches in the hill towns of western and eastern CT. In the whole scheme of things, a low impact event.
Monday
Tomorrow brings another storm and another chance for accumulating snow. A system will move through the region, bringing warmer air overrunning the colder surface. The result will be a period of snow that may be moderate to heavy for a brief period tomorrow afternoon between approximately 11am and 3pm that will quickly change to rain between 3-7pm as the precipitation departs. The hill towns in western and eastern CT may hold onto snow the longest, and there may not be much of any accumulation along the shoreline, especially in eastern areas, where it may be a very quick flip from snowflakes to raindrops. It'll be breezy as well, but not enough for any real power issues.
The timing makes this tricky, as there could be snow falling during part of the afternoon commute, but we think temperatures near to above freezing rather than in the 20s will help mitigate road problems. That said, definitely be careful on the roads as we could see some slick spots.
Overall, we expect no accumulation for SE CT, with a light coating to 2" elsewhere mostly on grass, and 1-3 inches in the hill towns of western and eastern CT. In the whole scheme of things, a low impact event.
Above is one of the short range models, the HRRR, which shows a brief period of snow tomorrow afternoon quickly turning to rain before departing tomorrow evening.
Tuesday-Thursday
In the wake of this latest storm, we warm up! Our overall pattern continues to evolve, better flattening the upper level pattern to allow for quick moving and more spaced out precipitation events. With it, comes less dominant cold and brief intrusions of milder air. Winter's not over, but we're marching toward spring, folks.
Tuesday morning could see some follow up snow or rain showers, but nothing too serious as we look at things right now. Highs inland should reach the low 40s. Wednesday and Thursday look good, with Wednesday's highs being in the 40s. If we overperform on temperatures we could see some spots edge closer to 50! We will see a front pass through Wednesday evening which will make Thursday a little cooler and windier, but with highs still in the 40s.
Friday-Sunday
By Friday however, we're looking at seasonably cold conditions again as a second shot of cold air moves into the region. Next weekend brings another storm chance, but at this time the storm looks weak and warm as it passes well to our west. It's something we'll watch, but at this time I think it is looking more wet than white.
Tuesday-Thursday
In the wake of this latest storm, we warm up! Our overall pattern continues to evolve, better flattening the upper level pattern to allow for quick moving and more spaced out precipitation events. With it, comes less dominant cold and brief intrusions of milder air. Winter's not over, but we're marching toward spring, folks.
Tuesday morning could see some follow up snow or rain showers, but nothing too serious as we look at things right now. Highs inland should reach the low 40s. Wednesday and Thursday look good, with Wednesday's highs being in the 40s. If we overperform on temperatures we could see some spots edge closer to 50! We will see a front pass through Wednesday evening which will make Thursday a little cooler and windier, but with highs still in the 40s.
Friday-Sunday
By Friday however, we're looking at seasonably cold conditions again as a second shot of cold air moves into the region. Next weekend brings another storm chance, but at this time the storm looks weak and warm as it passes well to our west. It's something we'll watch, but at this time I think it is looking more wet than white.
Above: long range GFS depiction showing the potential weekend storm. The pattern suggests that we see more of a rain event than something wintry with Atlantic blocking fading.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly cloudy and cold to start with snow changing to rain. Highs in the low to mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 90%.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and warmer. Slight chance of rain or snow showers early. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of precipitation 40%.
Wednesday: Increasing clouds late. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of precipitation late 10%.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and colder. Breezy. Highs in the low to mid 30s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of rain 30%.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 40s.
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Thank you for reading.
-DB
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly cloudy and cold to start with snow changing to rain. Highs in the low to mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 90%.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and warmer. Slight chance of rain or snow showers early. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of precipitation 40%.
Wednesday: Increasing clouds late. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of precipitation late 10%.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and colder. Breezy. Highs in the low to mid 30s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of rain 30%.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 40s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading.
-DB
