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Active week ahead with multiple snow chances...

3/4/2018

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Good afternoon from Southern Connecticut Weather. 

Today has been a mostly cloudy and breezy day, but temperatures have been seasonable with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s in the area. The theme for the week is that we're active, with multiple snow chances beginning today. 
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However, we're watching a shortwave that will dive down later today and bring the chance of rain and snow showers over the course of the later afternoon into the overnight hours. I currently don't anticipate much accumulation for anyone, but some of the guidance has become a bit more bullish on precip falling so it bears watching. Over the evening hours at temperatures drop, rain showers should become snow showers. Shoreline folks should also bear in mind that a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for the chance of minor coastal flooding continuing into Monday evening. 

Monday/Tuesday
Tomorrow and Tuesday look relatively quiet. Aside from the chance of light snow tomorrow morning, we should see quiet and seasonable conditions. Things will remain breezy. 
Wednesday/Thursday
This is the period of interest for us during the week. Essentially, we're going to be watching an area of low pressure traverse the country and redevelop off the Mid-Atlantic coast. From there it will travel northeast. It's still too early to provide specifics, but I still think there is a strong signal for a storm during this time period, and colder air looks to be in place, raising the chance for a significant winter weather event across the entire state that begins on Wednesday and may last into early Thursday. ​

Here, we're going to be watching the track of the mid level and surface lows. If they stay far enough south, we're more likely to get a widespread snow event for the duration of the storm. If it travels closer, like the GFS shows, we are likely to see mixing and/or rain. That's not something we're going to be able to determine yet. Just stay tuned. 
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GFS depiction of the event mid-week. Nothing is set in stone yet.
Friday-Sunday
After the storm departs, we go quiet again, with temperatures going back to a more seasonable state. By the end of the weekend, we're watching the potential for another storm take shape for early next week...

The Dailies
Monday: Snow showers early. Otherwise mostly cloudy. Highs in the low 40s. Chance of snow 30%. 

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 40s. 

Wednesday: Snow and mixed precipitation. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 70%

Thursday: Snow early. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 50%

Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 40s. 

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 40s.

Sunday: Increasing clouds. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. 

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Thank you for reading SCW. ​

-DB
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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