Good afternoon from SCW.
What a weekend!!!
Connecticut is seeing one of the best weekends of the entire year, as August heat and humidity has been replaced with comfortable and sunny afternoons, beautiful sunsets, and cool nights. Low temperatures were in the 50s across the state last night!
Today is another winner. We're seeing nice temperatures and low humidity along with partly sunny skies. Tonight should be another nice evening with temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s. It'll be a little warmer than last night, but still windows open weather.
The week ahead looks mostly quiet and nice, but we will deal with a bout of warmer conditions tomorrow and a potentially active day on Tuesday.
What a weekend!!!
Connecticut is seeing one of the best weekends of the entire year, as August heat and humidity has been replaced with comfortable and sunny afternoons, beautiful sunsets, and cool nights. Low temperatures were in the 50s across the state last night!
Today is another winner. We're seeing nice temperatures and low humidity along with partly sunny skies. Tonight should be another nice evening with temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s. It'll be a little warmer than last night, but still windows open weather.
The week ahead looks mostly quiet and nice, but we will deal with a bout of warmer conditions tomorrow and a potentially active day on Tuesday.
A spectacular look at conditions in New England on this Sunday thanks to GOES-E.
Monday
Tomorrow looks fine, but we will see a noticeable increase in heat and humidity. There will be a low chance of rain showers, but most will remain dry. We will be watching a cold front begin to push toward the region along with a relatively potent area of low pressure from the Great Lakes region.
Tuesday-Wednesday
Let's start with Tuesday. It looks wet, humid, and active. That area of low pressure is expected to reach the region on Tuesday, but there is still a significant amount of uncertainty regarding impacts. I think Tuesday has the potential to be a washout, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.
Rain is expected to be heavy at times, and there is a bit of a flash flooding and severe thunderstorm risk. A lot of this is dependent on the track and strength of the low, so stay tuned for updates early in the week.
Wednesday looks better at this time in terms of lower rainfall potential, but we could be dealing with some leftover showers. Things will eventually clear out, however. Below are two depictions of what could happen Tuesday and into Wednesday. The first is the GFS, showing most of the heavy rain missing to the south. The second is the high resolution NAM, which depicts an axis of heavier rain right over the state. There's still quite a bit of uncertainty here.
Monday
Tomorrow looks fine, but we will see a noticeable increase in heat and humidity. There will be a low chance of rain showers, but most will remain dry. We will be watching a cold front begin to push toward the region along with a relatively potent area of low pressure from the Great Lakes region.
Tuesday-Wednesday
Let's start with Tuesday. It looks wet, humid, and active. That area of low pressure is expected to reach the region on Tuesday, but there is still a significant amount of uncertainty regarding impacts. I think Tuesday has the potential to be a washout, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.
Rain is expected to be heavy at times, and there is a bit of a flash flooding and severe thunderstorm risk. A lot of this is dependent on the track and strength of the low, so stay tuned for updates early in the week.
Wednesday looks better at this time in terms of lower rainfall potential, but we could be dealing with some leftover showers. Things will eventually clear out, however. Below are two depictions of what could happen Tuesday and into Wednesday. The first is the GFS, showing most of the heavy rain missing to the south. The second is the high resolution NAM, which depicts an axis of heavier rain right over the state. There's still quite a bit of uncertainty here.
Thursday-Sunday
Can we get a repeat of the last two days? I'm not quite ready to go that far yet, but in the wake of the cold front and area of low pressure, the rest of the week and weekend look nice.
There have been some hints at showers on Thursday, but I am keeping odds of that very low for now. High pressure should build in, and we should see a return to lower temperatures and lower humidity. Things look partly to mostly sunny!
Can we get a repeat of the last two days? I'm not quite ready to go that far yet, but in the wake of the cold front and area of low pressure, the rest of the week and weekend look nice.
There have been some hints at showers on Thursday, but I am keeping odds of that very low for now. High pressure should build in, and we should see a return to lower temperatures and lower humidity. Things look partly to mostly sunny!
Above: European model depiction of 850mb temperatures. We see cooler temperatures aloft (but not as cool as this weekend) with building heat by the beginning of next week.
The Dailies
Monday: Partly sunny and warm. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Chance of rain 20%.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with rain. Rain may be heavy at times with strong to severe thunderstorms possible. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of rain 80%.
Wednesday: Early showers and clouds with gradual clearing. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of rain 20%
Thursday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
The Dailies
Monday: Partly sunny and warm. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Chance of rain 20%.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with rain. Rain may be heavy at times with strong to severe thunderstorms possible. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of rain 80%.
Wednesday: Early showers and clouds with gradual clearing. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of rain 20%
Thursday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
