After our first summer-like day on Monday, Spring has finally found its way to Connecticut, with comfortable temperatures, low humidity, and plenty of sunshine. Of course the question you’re all asking is “will this hold on for Memorial Day Weekend?” and I’m happy to tell you that by and large it will. The “unofficial start of summer” looks like it’ll actually feel like summer this year!
Thursday-Friday
Tomorrow will be a bit cloudier compared to the last couple of days, and we’ll also see some sprinkles or scattered showers throughout the day. We’ll see shower coverage become a bit more widespread in the evening hours as a cold front passes through, but not seeing the ingredients needed to spark widespread convection at this time. Temps should hang near seasonal norms, which are right around 70.
For Friday, we’ll return to the sunshine and start warming up as well as highs creep into the low to mid 70s.
Saturday-Monday
Should see warmer and more humid weather for Saturday as a frontal system passes to our north. Right now Euro/GFS keep the QPF in northern New England/upstate NY but we’re still at the range where we could see a shift back south to bring showers to the area. Will carry a slight chance of precipitation to account for any southward shifts, but as of right now the odds favor a dry day and even some peeks of sunshine. Highs should be in the mid 70s.
On Saturday night, the front shifts south and east into our area, bringing a round of showers and possibly some thunderstorms. While some showers may linger into Sunday morning, we should dry out, and we’ll definitely warm up; 80s look like they could be in the cards by Sunday afternoon away from the immediate coastline. If that’s a bit too hot for you, Monday will be your winner; mid 70s and almost full sunshine is pretty unbeatable for Memorial Day. Get the BBQ and beach plans ready!
Here’s a look at afternoon temps on the GFS for Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Nice!
Another frontal system looks to move through for the start of the workweek which would bring a period of showers to the state and cool things off a touch. Some signs in the long range that we warm up significantly towards the middle of the week; if you believe the models we’d be well into the 80s and possibly approaching 90 in the warmer spots, but you’d need a blockbuster setup to get that this early in the summer and I’m not convinced that the signal is real. Will go with lower 80s for now and keep an eye on it, but just for fun, here’s a look at forecast high temps on Wednesday from the GFS.
Thursday: A chance of showers, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs around 70. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 70s.
Saturday: A slight chance of showers, otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 70s. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday: A chance of showers in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 70s.
Tuesday: A chance of showers, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the low 70s.
Wednesday: Partly sunny, with highs in the lower 80s.
Have a wonderful long weekend and thank you for reading SCW!
-SA