Although poorly timed, the weekend washout was much needed, with many parts of the state receiving roughly between 2-4 inches of rain. That should help with the pollen, and with vegetation statewide. Unfortunately, with the rain came record cold temperatures.
Today we finally saw clearing, and the week ahead, the first week of June and meteorological summer, looks like a mixed bag with a definitive warming trend. Let's dive in.
Tomorrow we finally return to more normal reasonable temperatures this time of year, with highs in the low to mid 70s. We should see partly cloudy conditions. It could be a little warmer with sunnier conditions, but I'll hold for now. Wednesday looks to be a bit warmer, with continued partly cloudy conditions. We could see some scattered showers however, especially in the afternoon.
The end of the shortened work week will bring unsettled conditions. On Thursday, we will see a low potentially cut to our west, bringing the chance for rain showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. Although temperatures should remain in the 70s, with the dominant flow we should see rising dew points, which means more humidity. Friday could see some clearing, but it all depends on the timing and speed of the low. For now, we expect shower chances and cloudy conditions, similar to the depiction of the 18z GFS and other guidance.
The biggest story that we see as we look at the week ahead is the building heat. There is a growing signal that a big ridge of high pressure will build over the western Atlantic and eastern US, creating a flow that will allow for heat to push into the region.
Saturday for now looks like a transition day, meaning warm, but not necessarily too hot, followed by the beginning of a period of potential 90+ heat on Sunday. This far out, this can change, but we could be looking at our first heat wave (3 consecutive days of 90+ high temperatures) starting by next weekend.
From 49 degrees to 94 degrees in just one week? We'll see. Below is a European ensemble projection of the 500mb pattern. You see the ridging build into New England. This looks like a pattern that could actually bring the warmest temperatures "over the top" into northern New England, but we would still get plenty of heat and humidity here. Summer's not too far away...
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and warmer. Highs in the low to mid 70s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. Chance of showers 30%.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. Chance of rain 50%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. Chance of rain 40%.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and warmer. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, hot, and humid. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.
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