What an August this has been. We started the month with heat and Tropical Storm Isaias, and will end the month with cleanup from Thursday's severe weather event and some hints of fall approaching. The big heat of the summer is slowly fading away, and as we head into the last week of a wild August, things looks mostly quiet, with a little unsettled weather during the middle of the week.
Both today and Monday look fantastic. Temperatures and humidity levels will make it feel like early fall with with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Tonight, low temperatures will even reach the 50s for a lot of locations! No rain is expected. As you will see below, 850mb temperatures look great! That should translate to a nice and seasonable period.
The remainder of the work week looks unsettled, but not a washout by any means. In fact, much of the guidance doesn't have much rain. That said, the chances are there, and I will be introducing some rain chances each day. The rain chances on Tuesday and early Wednesday are likely to come from a weak non-tropical low pressure system. The rain chances Thursday and early Friday look to come from an approaching cold front.
Next weekend, Labor Day weekend, is currently looking beautiful. With the passage of the cold front at the end of the work week, high pressure looks to build in and we should see sunny and seasonable temperatures.
Monday: Partly cloudy early with increasing clouds. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy early with a chance of rain showers, decreasing clouds late. Highs in the low to mid 70s. Chance of rain 30%.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid to upper 70s. Chance of rain 30%.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of rain 50%.
Friday: Chance of showers early with decreasing clouds. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain 30%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Our record breaking hurricane season continues, as this last week saw two hurricanes and one hurricane, Laura, make landfall as one of the strongest in Louisiana history. There is no break in tracking either, as we head toward the climatological peak around September 10th.
There are currently four areas of interest in the Atlantic, with one expected to develop right off the East Coast this week. If it becomes named, it will be called Nana. It is expected to remain offshore with minimal impact to the US.
There are also some waves out in the Caribbean, central Atlantic, and eastern Atlantic. None are looking like a current threat to the region, but this far out, we'll be watching to see if that changes.
It's early, but the guidance is showing a much more amplified pattern in the next 7-10 days in the US. that along with ridging offshore could create a favorable steering pattern for a close call along the US East Coast. Nothing to really think too much about at the moment, but that's a period I will be watching in case something is lurking. As I have reminded you throughout the hurricane season, stay on guard. Historically, there is about 70-75% of the season left on August 30th.
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