Synopsis: Overall, the pattern has turned stormier, and later on in the period, it will continue to turn progressively colder, yielding eventual winter possibilities.

Currently: Complex low pressure system extends from the Upper Great Lakes to Western NYS.  A warm front extends ESE out of the WNY low and has just cleared the entire state.  Meanwhile, tornado watches were posted in MS and LA this evening.  This is the beginning stages of the next system which will affect the state tomorrow- not with tornadoes- but with more rain.

Tonight: Most of the night should be rain-free.  The system that brought rain to the area is pulling away and there isn't much behind it.  Rain showers are occurring in the NYC metro.  Some of these could skim the S coast overnight.  As for temps, they really won't fall very much, since we are in the warm sector, and skies really shouldn't clear very much.  Lows should range from the low 40s to near 50.  

Another concern for tonight will be patchy dense fog, especially along the south coast.  With a warm air mass, wet ground, and calm winds, it should be easy for fog to form along the south coast, so use caution if driving.

Tomorrow: The second of these two systems will affect the region tomorrow.  This whole system seems to be evolving a bit slower than models were suggesting.  I don't think this is really affecting the ultimate evolution of this system.  In other words, rainfall totals, temps, etc, will not need to be adjusted.  However, we'll just need to push everything back by 2-3 hrs.  With this in mind, I'll keep the morning portion of tomorrow's forecast dry, and then get precip in everywhere fairly quickly around lunchtime.  It is not entirely out of the realm of possibility for the south coast to get drizzle and fog earlier, given the moisture content of the air mass, but I'm talking about measurable precipitation.  Speaking of fog, most fog should clear out by dawn.  Any fog that lingers longer will get scoured out by the rain when it moves in.  That's the good thing about steadier precip- it absorbs the fog! Temps will be very warm tomorrow, w/highs in the mid 50s, except a few cooler locales in the NW hills.

Tomorrow Night/Thu: Precip will slowly wind down overnight, ending around midnight in the SW, but not until around dawn in the NE.  There is a pretty good chance of actually ending November with a bang- literally- and seeing some t-storms tomorrow night between rush hr and just after midnight with the frontal line.  After examining soundings and instability parameters, I'll limit the chance of t-storms to roughly west of I 91 and south of I 84.  This is where two favorable factors for t-storms exist: warmer temps and better timing.  It's normally harder to get t-storms after midnight and even harder to accomplish this in Nov than in the summer!  Thu could turn out to be a nice day, as skies clear.  Winds will be up on Thu, with gusts possibly getting to 35 MPH or so behind the front.  Temps will start out very warm Thu morning, but since we'll be post-frontal and it's the first of Dec, meaning the sun angle is very low, temps will not rise much during the day.  Highs should be in the mid to upper 50s, and those could very well be early in the day.  Thu's lows will likely be at 11:59 PM or somewhere thereabouts.

Longer Term: The Weekend: The first half of the weekend should definitely be nice and confidence in that is very high.  There is a bit less confidence in the 2nd half of the weekend, especially the tail end of the weekend, and not just because it's further out in time, but because there are more modeled system(s) and the models are currently showing very different solutions.

First off, for Fri and Sat, expect sunshine with slightly above normal temps these two days. Puffy cumulus clouds develop each day.  There is a small chance of a streamer making it down into the NW hills and dropping a flurry as it passes by Sat afternoon.  Temps on Fri should feature lows in the mid 30s and highs around 50 and then lows 30 to 35 with highs in the mid 40s on Sat.

Now for Sunday, I'll keep the day dry for now, as most models hold off any precip until late at night.  Temps will be cooler, with lows around 30 and highs 40 to 45.  An Alberta Clipper system will pass by Sunday night.  This could bring a period of light snow to the state.  With marginal sfc temps, most accumulations would be restricted to the NW hills.  Accumulations will be light everywhere, with nothing more than an inch, at least based on guidance I am seeing right now.

For Monday and Tuesday: Uncertainty increases as some models move Sun night's clipper slower and phase it with a developing coastal low.  This would produce a much more significant storm than what will be shown in the forecast here right now.  There would also be precipitation type issues, as at least some of the state would be cold enough for frozen precip some of the time.  Other models, like the GFS, keep the two systems separate, which would result in a brush with light snow Sunday night and then a brush with light rain Monday night or early Tuesday, as the system would remain in two pieces and be basically a brush with a clipper and a brush with a coastal in a warmer air mass.  For now, I'll take the latter solution, but I have literally no confidence in either solution at this time.  The data will still not be onshore for quite a while, so we'll have a while before we iron this out.  Temps would also depend on the ultimate evolution of this system, but for now, I'll forecast highs in the mid 40s Monday and maybe a degree or two warmer Tuesday.

Long Range: Players on the field in the long range include a strong ridge somewhere near Alaska and a weaker ridge over Greenland.  Those are fairly certain.  The uncertainties are where the Alaskan Ridge sets up and how strong the blocking is over Greenland.  If the Alaskan Ridge is way to the west, over the Aleutians or the Bering Sea, it might be too far west to bring cold air here.  If it's further east, over mainland Alaska or the Yukon Territories, that would deliver big time cold to the area.  The strength of the blocking over Greenland may have something to do with all of this, as well.  Ensemble members look more like the further east camp with the Alaskan Ridge and do deliver some very cold air to the region, possibly along with winter storm threats by mid-month, so that is the favored solution for now.  But keep in mind, a small change in strength and position of the main features could make a big difference in our weather.

Now, let's take a look at our weather graphically, with some maps for your enjoyment! First, we'll look at tomorrow's rain and then we'll look at the "Monday Mess", as I'll call it for now.  

​

This is total precip and you can see the entire state is in a soaking rainfall.  Some orographic enhancement occurs in the NW hills and they get a bit more rain.

This next map, valid Tuesday, shows how one weak system over WV and another clipper over Srn Canada miss each other and never really phase.  If the first clipper Sun night would slow down or this Clipper in Srn Canada Tuesday would speed up, they could phase with the coastal low, force it to get stronger and ride up the coast.  On this solution, there is no phase, and we don't get much of anything.  But other solutions do produce a phase one way or the other.

​

That's all for now! Enjoy the increasingly wild weather pattern, as well as the rest of your week!

​-GP!

​Good evening to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!
 
An active week is in store, with two separate systems lined up to bring some much-needed rain to the state. With these systems will come warmer temperatures, but if the long range guidance is correct, they will not last as we transition towards a more wintry regime moving into December.
 
Sunday-Monday
 
A cold front is currently moving across the state, bringing below-normal temperatures in its wake for the short-term, although not as chilly as what we saw earlier this week. We should see highs in the mid 40s on Sunday and in the low to mid 40s on Monday, with lows around freezing tomorrow morning and in the upper 20s Monday morning. While there will still be some clouds around tomorrow, we will see ample sunshine through most of the day and into Monday morning before more clouds arrive Monday afternoon in advance of our duet of systems.
 
Tuesday
 
Tuesday morning will start out a bit below normal, with low temperatures below freezing in the hilltowns and just above freezing elsewhere. Rain will move into the state later in the morning into the afternoon associated with a system cutting well to our west. While temperatures aloft will have warmed above freezing, preventing any snowfall, it’s possible that due to the high pressure to our north, we could see some cold air damming at the surface in the northern elevated valleys resulting in a brief period of freezing rain at the onset of the system. While I don’t expect icing to be significant or widespread, and any icing that does develop should turn over to rain, I’m always wary of the low levels in a situation like this, as we’ve seen time and time again that modeling is too quick to warm the surface in a cold air damming scenario. My confidence in any icing is low, but given the impacts that it can have, I figured it was worth it to mention the possibility. Otherwise, expect rain overspreading the state throughout the morning, with up to an inch of rain expected by the time the system moves out in the wee hours of Wednesday morning.
 
Wednesday-Thursday
 
We’ll see a quick break from the rain Wednesday morning, but by mid afternoon, the next wave arrives and lasts into Thursday morning. Guidance differs somewhat here, with the GFS keeping the storm weaker and more progressive compared to the Euro. The result is less rain and warmer temps if the GFS were to verify, but for our area, the only real difference is the strength of the rain, as the timing and track are relatively similar on both models, and neither solution would be cold enough for snow in our area(In northern NH and ME, different story, where the Euro brings a foot+ of snow while the GFS has a cold rain). We will see a rainy start to the day on Thursday, but it should dry out for the afternoon, with perhaps a peek of sunshine in southern areas in the last afternoon.
 
Here’s a great model image from the 18z GFS, valid for 1 AM Wednesday morning that illustrates the setup for this week. 

In northern Wisconsin and Minnesota, you can see the dying primary low, north of the Great Lakes you can see the secondary low that brought us the first batch of precipitation on Tuesday, and in the gulf, you can see the formation of the followup system that rides the gradient left by the first cutter to bring Wednesday’s rain. Cool to see how it all comes together!
 
The Long Range
 
As we move past this system, we begin to see a wholesale change in the pattern as the deck is reshuffled aloft. The EPO looks to go negative, dumping a shot of arctic cold into the west, which will then move eastward with time. In addition, it looks as though we will see strong poleward ridging develop, which favors a colder and more active look. Combine that with the blocking that we have seen in the Atlantic (AO and NAO), and you get a setup that is favorable for below normal temperatures and wintry chances. We often see a gradient pattern develop in this background state, where overrunning systems can move along the gradient and bring snow on their northern flanks. The big question is where the gradient decides to set up, and it’s way too early to speculate on where that may be, or when we may see any specific snow threat. All we can say is that it does look like we are heading towards a pattern that will allow us to see those threats as we move into December and the official start to meteorological winter.  Don will be beginning his two-week outlooks around December first, with much more insight into the medium and long-range patterns, so stay tuned for more to come!
 
The Dailies
 
Sunday: Partly sunny, with highs in the mid 40s.
Monday: Partly cloudy, with highs in the low to mid 40s.
Tuesday: A slight chance of freezing rain, otherwise, rain likely, with highs in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation is 90%
Wednesday: A chance of showers in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday: Rain ending in the morning, otherwise, mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 40s.
 
Have a great rest of your weekend and thank you for reading Southern Connecticut Weather!
-SA

Disc: There are no *MAJOR* storm threats on the horizon right now, but there are a few small storm threats over the upcoming holiday period, all of which could produce a little wintry weather.

Currently: The pesky upper level low that brought persistent snow showers to the state and the huge lake effect snow event to upstate NY is finally lifting out into New Brunswick province, Canada.  High pressure extending from James Bay, Canada, to NC, will build in to our region, bringing a brief period of fair weather.

Tonight: Temperatures will fall quickly as skies clear.  The one fly in the ointment could be a few leftover clouds, but most of these should pull out after midnight and then temperatures may begin to fall rapidly.  In areas that have snowcover, temperatures will really fall rapidly.  Tonight will definitely be the coldest night of the season.  Low temperatures should range from the low 20s to around 30.  

Tomorrow: A fair weather day and a break between the next incoming weak system and the snow showers and gusty winds we've been experiencing.  Expect high temperatures to be within a few degrees of 45 throughout the state.

Tomorrow Night and Thursday: A very weak storm system over Lake Michigan will bring scattered light precipitation into the area late tomorrow night.  The fact that this low is weak will actually allow temperatures to be colder than if the low were strong, because it won't have such a push of warm air that we typically see when there is a strong storm over the Great Lakes.  It also won't have much precipitation.  For this reason, I don't really see a winter weather threat with this system.  In addition, most of the precipitation will fall over Southwestern sections, where temperatures will probably be warm enough to support rain.  The good news is that no matter what, if any precipitation does fall where temperatures are cold enough, it will probably be sleet or snow, rather than freezing rain.  During the day on Thursday, some of this precipitation spreads further Northward into the rest of the state, as rain or a rain/sleet mix.

Another low pressure system will develop Thursday night well off the coast of Southern New Jersey.  This low should also be very weak.  Because of the position of this low, most of the precipitation will fall across Southern Connecticut, with the best chance near  I 95 and East of I 91.  Precipitation should be rain or a rain sleet mix, and mostly quite light.  

Temperatures Thursday will reach 40-45 degrees for highs, so it will be a chilly and raw Thanksgiving, precipitation or not!

Longer Term- Thanksgiving Weekend: This weekend will be an unsettled mess, with various waves of mostly weak low pressure and temperatures mostly supporting rain, but occasionally cold enough cold enough for snow or sleet.

For Friday... For now, will run with a dry forecast for Friday, since one weak system will be ending, and the next one shouldn't arrive until late at night.  So under a mostly cloudy sky, Friday's high temperatures should be fairly uniform across the state, with highs in the upper 40s.

Another weak system will approach for late Friday night into early Saturday morning, as a weak low pressure system will be over Lake Ontario, with a weak secondary low developing off Cape Hatteras.  This time temperature profiles appear warm enough for just light rain, but just barely.  Aside from a rogue shower, most of the day Saturday should be dry, with again, most of the precipitation falling early in the morning and late at night.  If any showers come down heavy enough during the day on Saturday, the rain could mix with sleet or rime graupel, since the freezing level is relatively low.   High temperatures on Saturday should be near or just above 50.

Yet another weak system will affect the state on Sunday.  This one appears to be more of a daytime event.   This is from the same storm that hit Saturday now becoming quite a bit stronger as it heads off the coast of Cape Cod and throwing a trough back.  Models have been trending stronger with this feature.  In addition, temperatures have trended colder and will continue to do so if the storm trends stronger, since the upper levels are cold enough.  This one could be cold enough to support snow everywhere, and accumulations for the interior, IF it pans out.  There is a lot of time to work this out and a small change in axis and strength of this trough could have big effects on our weather, so stay tuned!  As for temperatures on Sunday, current progs have highs near or just below 50, but if this storm strengthens, you might want to take at least 10 degrees off that!

As we head into next week, Monday and Tuesday should feature fair weather, with high temperatures right around 50 both days, as high pressure builds in.  The next system will approach Wednesday.  For now, at least, this system looks to be stronger than the past systems and track into Lake Superior.  This would bring warmer air into the region, so only rain would fall.

Looking into the longer range, a very active pattern looks to set up, with a sharp thermal gradient from north to south across the country, and a gradual trend toward cooler temperatures.  As we head into a climatologically colder period of the year, in a pattern like this, events would tend to trend more snowy with time.  Since the pattern is clearly getting more active, this may be something to watch!

Now, let's take a look at our weather coming up graphically.  I'll show a map for Thanksgiving Day, which shows a little bit of both systems that will affect the area both days, and then a map of Sunday's potential, since right now, that seems like the most interesting in the slew of upcoming weak systems.

This map is valid noon on Thanksgiving Day.  You can see that the precipitation distribution is a disorganized mess, as I described, with precipitation down in Southern New Jersey and points South, and more precipitation over Northern New England, but none implicitly over Connecticut at that hour.

You can see a lot on this map.  First off, the system East of Massachusetts, is rotating precipitation westward into the state.  The heavier precipitation over Rhode Island is getting ready to rotate into the eastern half of the state, probably east of I 91.  The strong storm over Nebraska will be our next player a few days later, pumping rain and warmer air into the state.

That's all for now! Have a great rest of your week and a great Thanksgiving!

-GP!

Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather.

Before we begin, I want to say thank you to everyone who has sent well wishes my way. As you know, I’ve been absent for a few weeks to deal with very busy and uncertain times, but I want you to know that everything is fine and I’m ready for winter! We’re just a few days away from my first two week outlook!
Last time I wrote, it was October 30th. I provided a quick outlook for November, and I can only hope that I’m as accurate as I was then:

This November, I don’t see either dominating, at least in the first half of the month. I think that overall, we’re looking at a typical gradual step-down toward winter in Connecticut, with short and frequent oscillations between warm and cool early in the month, a transitional period that leans more directly toward below normal temperatures in the middle, and a more deliberate move toward colder than normal conditions in the last week to ten days of the month. I think that the long range ensembles, which are currently hinting at a push toward colder conditions by the middle of the month, may end up being a bit too fast with a quick change to consistent winter-like conditions.​

That wasn’t a bad call. There were short and frequent changes in the early part of the month, but the last ten days have featured pretty warm temperatures instead of a period of below normal temperatures. The last part however, looks to be more accurate. The models did bring the arrival of winter too soon, and now, right on cue, the last ten days of the month are going to look and feel like winter. 

Hopefully you enjoyed today. Winter is coming. Let’s start with our SCW period of interest—tomorrow and Monday.

Wind Advisories are up for coastal Connecticut tomorrow morning through Monday evening, as a very strong cold front will push through the region and an area of low pressure forms along it. The low will move to our north, and the lingering moisture will produce a burst of snow in the northwest hills tomorrow morning, and the chance of show showers across the state tomorrow night into Monday. You can already see things taking shape to our west with the cold front.

Sunday/Monday
Sunday will begin with the cold front pushing through the state. With warm temperatures aloft and at the surface, we will see everyone start with rain. Over the course of the overnight hours however, the northwest hill towns and other portions of western Connecticut will see the temperatures aloft drop enough to change things over to a brief mix and then snow. I expect this to be a relatively brief period of steady snow, but the guidance has been more bullish recently. Even without a steady thump all day, we should see on and off snow showers through much of the day in western and northwest Connecticut, any of which could drop a quick coating if it falls quickly enough. For the northwest hill towns however, I am more concerned that we’ll see accumulating snow early on. It doesn’t look plowable, but I think with the combination of dropping temps and snow the roads will be slick. Take it easy out there tomorrow morning. 

Monday looks to be the best day for the rest of the state to see snowflakes, as brisk northwest flow brings the chance of snow showers. It will be windy and cold, bringing wintry appeal even if there isn’t much accumulation from this second round of snow. Wind chills Sunday and Monday will make it feel much colder than it actually is. ​

Let’s take a look at what some of the guidance is depicting.

​18z GFS

The GFS as a global model may be limited in seeing what happens at elevation locations, but I think the overall depiction is right. We’ll see rain changing to snow in northwest and western Connecticut tomorrow morning, followed by rain showers in other parts of the state before temperatures cooperate for periods of light snow late Sunday into Monday. ​

​18z 4km NAM

Here, you see a period of rain overnight that transitions to snow in northwest and western CT early on Sunday. I think this may be overdone, but the NAM depicts (accurately in my opinion) lingering snow showers in the western part of the state, rain/snow showers across the rest of the state during the day, with a shift to widespread snow showers Sunday night into Monday. ​

Note--the latest NAM came in very bullish. I'm not buying it right now, but I do think there is bust potential here. 

​18z RGEM

Another one of my chosen high resolution models, the RGEM, is less bullish on snow across the rest of the state, but shows a period of snow in the northwest portion of the state, followed by snow showers by Monday across the state as cold air dominates. 

• I’m going with with a coating to an inch in the lower elevation locations in Litchfield and northern Fairfield Counties. I have a lower confidence area of coatings to an inch in the higher elevations of eastern Connecticut. 
  
  
• I expect 1-3 inches in the higher elevation and further north locations in Litchfield County, with an outside chance that a location or two lollipops higher than that.
   
• For the rest of the state, there is a greater chance of snow showers as cold air advects in on Sunday and we see snow showers through Monday. I'm not expecting a lot of accumulation outside of a coating. Though some spots could get lucky under a heavier returns. Regardless of where you are, it’ll feel like winter.

Although relatively isolated, given the snowfall potential in the northwest portion of the state, we are issuing our first map of the season. 

Tuesday/Wednesday
This period looks cold, dry, and boring, so not much needs to be said. The wind should die down  and we’re looking at a period of below normal temperatures, though by Wednesday we’re warming up and watching the next storm, set to arrive just in time for Thanksgiving. 
​
Thanksgiving & Weekend
By Thanksgiving Day, we’re likely seeing a storm cut well to our northwest, but there could be some redevelopment off the coast on Friday. Right now, all I can confidently say is that there has been a signal for a storm for a while now, but the evidence suggests that this is just a rain event. 

There is the chance that enough cold air is in place early on to bring a brief period of snow or mixed precipitation though before a changeover to rain, but that seems like a low probability deal right now. Stay tuned in case things change.

The weekend looks nice and mostly dry right now. We’ll be watching for the chance of a weak low crossing the region on Saturday, but I’m not concerned about that at all right now. 

We’ll be around for updates if they are needed tonight and tomorrow. Send us your reports and pictures! They are helpful and might even be featured here on our Facebook page and Twitter @SouthernCTWX. 

Please like, share, and ask questions. We love to hear from you!

The dailies:
Sunday: Rain early changing to snow in northwest CT and western CT. Rain/snow mix elsewhere, changing to scattered snow showers. Windy, with gusts between 30-50mph. Highs in the mid 30s to low 40s. Chance of precipitation 90%. 
 
Monday: Windy and cold, with scattered snow showers. Little to no accumulation expected in most spots. Highs in the mid 30s to low 40s. Chance of snow 50%. 

Tuesday: Sunny and seasonably cold. Highs in the mid 30s to low 40s. 

Wednesday: Sunny and chilly. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. 

Thanksgiving Day: Wintry mix early changing to rain. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 60%. 

Friday: Partly sunny and warmer. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. 

Saturday: Partly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 10%. 

Sunday (Bonus day!): Sunny and seasonably cold. Highs in the low 40s. 

Thanks for reading! 

-DB

​Good evening to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!
It’s been a warm week(and month) so far in Connecticut. However, that is about to change, as the first extended cold snap of the season looks to approach later this weekend into the beginning of next week. Before we get there though, we have a storm system to deal with for this weekend, which will bring rain, strong winds, and perhaps even some snowflakes to the area.
 
Friday-Saturday
 
Mild and sunny weather will continue in the short range thanks to a ridge moving over the area, with the warmest days of the week expected tomorrow and Saturday. We should see high temperatures in the upper 50s, with some 60s possible along the shoreline and in the river valley. Generally sunny skies expected, although we could see some clouds move in Saturday afternoon in western areas depending on the timing of the upcoming system. Guidance in good agreement so took a GFS/Euro blend.
 
Sunday
 
A weak system is expected to cut into the Great Lakes Saturday and continue heading north into Canada. Guidance is in good agreement on the formation of a secondary low in our general area on Sunday morning, but there remain some inconsistencies on where it develops and it’s intensity. The GFS places the secondary low over northern New England, keeping most of the rain out of our area, while the Euro develops it over northern CT and MA which results in the heavier band of rain being positioned right over us. Here’s a look at the low placements on the GFS and Euro at 1 AM Sunday morning.

​Considering that the Euro is supported by the CMC and NAM, I’m hedging towards a slightly wetter solution for our area, but either way, I don’t expect significant rainfall over the area, with a tenth or two of an inch expected across most of the state. Up to half an inch or so is possible in northern and western areas depending on the track of the low; best chance for that would be in Litchfield county.
 
As the strong upper level low begins to exit to our north, it will bring in MUCH colder air in its wake. Expect a sharp drop in temperatures on Sunday as the front passes through. Any lingering moisture that remains will likely flip over to snow showers from north to south throughout the day. The wraparound precipitation from the storm will primarily be confined to our west, but western portions of the state could sneak into the edge of that precipitation shield and see some snow showers throughout the day. We could see accumulations of an inch or two in the Litchfield hills, with just some scattered dustings elsewhere.
 
Here’s a simulated radar image from the NAM for 4 PM on Sunday. Note that a slight eastward shift of the low placement would bring snow to more of the state – low probability as of right now but we’re keeping an eye on it.

We’ll also see some strong wind gusts in the wake of the system on Sunday, with gusts of up to 40 MPH possible. Any snow showers that develop could result in briefly reduced visibilities. Between the wind and the cold, it’s going to feel quite winter-like!
 
 Monday-Tuesday
 
Much colder temperatures are expected, with lows making it down into the upper 20s both mornings (warmer on the immediate shoreline) and daytime highs  only making it to the upper 30s to lower 40s. Breezy conditions will also continue into Monday, resulting in below-freezing wind chills throughout the day. Bundle up when you’re heading out and enjoy this first taste of winter!
 
Wednesday-Thanksgiving Day
 
Another cold morning will give way to warming temperatures throughout the day in advance of our next system that looks to arrive on Thanksgiving Day. It generally looks like we’re going to see a low track to our west before running into the cold air block in place and being pushed east, but where it stops its push north and starts moving east and/or redevelops is right now anyone’s guess. The GFS tends to favor a more progressive solution, while the Euro is more amplified, but at this lead-time, I’m only looking for the presence of a system in the area and expect the details to change. Temperatures will likely be a challenge for those looking for snow as the block looks to be moving out as the storm arrives, which will likely allow just enough warm air into the midlevels to result in a cold rain for the area, but perhaps we can thread the needle and strike the right balance of amplification and blocking to bring some snow to at least interior portions of the state. Stay tuned…
 
The Dailies
 
Friday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Sunday: Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with temps falling into the mid 40s by the afternoon hours. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday: Partly cloudy and cold, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and cold, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid 40s.
Thursday: A chance of rain, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
 
Finally, in case you missed it, we released our winter forecast yesterday! Head here to read it. 
Have a wonderful weekend and thank you for reading SCW!
-SA