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Big heat arrives tomorrow, but is short lived...dry pattern likely to continue...

6/17/2018

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Happy Father's Day from Southern Connecticut Weather!

An Air Quality Alert has been issued for the coastline of CT and Fairfield County. Sensitive groups should think about limiting their activity outside the next two days. 

Sunday
Today looks wonderful. As I said in my FB post yesterday, today will be warmer for most, with a slight increase in humidity. Today we're looking at sunny conditions with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s inland and temperatures a few degrees cooler at the shoreline (with the exception of SE CT where temperatures will remain in the upper 70s to low 80s). Things look dry through the evening. 
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GOES imagery of New England at this hour. It's a beautiful day to be outside! 

Monday
Tomorrow we bake. Heat and humidity will crank up in a big way, and records could be threatened. I think Heat Advisories are likely to be issued for inland areas, so stay tuned. The heat index will approach 100 tomorrow, particularly in the CT river valley. Toward the late afternoon and evening, there will be an increased chance of thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe. Keep an eye to the sky and radar tomorrow. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s for interior Connecticut, upper 80s to low 90s for much of the shoreline, and low to mid 80s along the immediate shore of SE CT. 
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In addition to the above tips for staying cool in the heat, watch out for the signs of heat related illness as well. 
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Tuesday
​After showers and thunderstorms during the evening hours on Monday, we start Tuesday with lingering clouds and humid conditions as a cold front pushes through the region. Things will clear however by afternoon, and humidity levels will drop. Tuesday looks warm, but not the furnace that Monday will likely be. This will start the trend for the week. Warm, but pleasant and dry. 
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Wednesday-Friday
The second half of the week looks beautiful. The pattern looks to keep any real chances of rain away from the region, while keeping more serious heat and humidity to our south. Highs will be above normal, and it will feel like summer, but humidity should remain low. 

The Weekend
As you can see above, the GFS model tries to bring some showers in this weekend. Just like last week, I think that's overdone. For now, I'll forecast continuity with the overall pattern. Warm and (mostly) dry. 

The Dailies
Monday: Hazy, Hot, and Humid. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening which could be strong to severe. Highs in the mid to upper 90s inland. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s at the shore (outside of immediate SE CT). Chance of rain 50%. 
 
Tuesday: Cloudy and humid start giving way to sunny and less humid conditions. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. 

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s to upper 80s inland. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s at the shore. 

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s at the shore.  

Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 80s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid to upper 80s inland. Highs in the low to mid 80s at the shore.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of showers 20%. 

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Thank you for reading SCW. 

-DB
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