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...FAIRLY BENIGN PATTERN FOR A WHILE..

11/4/2021

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Disc: This disc will likely be shorter than normal.  Quite frankly, there isn't much to talk about.  That will change, but the next 7 days look remarkably quiet.

Currently: High pressure over the region keeping us sunny, but chilly.

Tonight: Pretty good radiational conditions once again.  Need to go a bit under guidance as a result.  Thinking most lows 30-35, except a few warmer spots in the urban corridor and immediate S coast.

Tomorrow: Guidance generally accepted w/sunny skies and near-neutral advection.  Highs generally 50-55, although I wouldn't be surprised w/a warmer reading or two along the I 91 corridor.

Tomorrow Night/Sat: Status quo.  Guidance accepted.  Highs 50-55.  Once again, it could be a bit warmer along the I 91 corridor.

Long Term: Not many concerns this period either.  The dailies:

Sunday: A storm passes out to sea, but may be close enough to bring some clouds to the state.  I went just a touch under guidance as a result. Expect highs exactly the same as the past couple days- 50-55, w/a warmer reading or two along I-91, esp if there is any sun.

Monday: We turn warmer, as high pressure slides offshore.  Guidance accepted.  High temps generally in the low 60s.

Tuesday: Again guidance generally accepted.  Warm again- probably even a few deg warmer than Mon.  Not implicitly shown in today's fcst, but I could see locations along I 91 getting into the upper 60s!

Wednesday: Probably more clouds than Tue, so for that reason, I took just a deg or two off guidance.  Still nice, w/temps around 60 statewide.

Thursday: First in a series of cold fronts that will start getting us back to cold wx approaches.  Precip probably holds off until after dark, and may not be all that widespread.  Therefore, w/this being the last period of the fcst, I have left it out for now.  There is a lot of spread amongst the ens guidance regarding temps.  Accordingly, I have left guidance alone, w/highs anticipated in the upper 50s.

Long Range: An extended period of unsettled wx is likely after the fcst period.  Details remain very sketchy, as you can imagine at this range, but it looks like we could have a Lakes Cutter transitioning to a coastal.  Thereafter, predoimnately normal to below normal temps should dominate our wx.

No graphics are needed today.  There is so little going on I couldn't think of what graphic to put in even if I really tried! Take care and see you next week!

​-GP!

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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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