Good afternoon from Southern Connecticut Weather!
We're starting to get to one of my favorite times of the year. It seems as if we blinked and here we are with May and Memorial Day right around the corner. April has been downright cold, with temperatures over 5 degrees below normal at BDL. Incredible.
Well, it looks like the big cold departures from normal are going to become a thing of the past, as we head into the last month of meteorological spring.
On May 1st, the average high temperature is 67 at BDL.
On May 31st, the average high temperature is 75 at BDL.
This week we will see a first taste of summer.
Sunday/Monday
Today and tomorrow are our last two cool days for the foreseeable future. We've seen rain showers through much of the day so far, as a cutoff low traverses the region. Although things look to be drying out a bit, with maybe even a few peeks of sun, there will be a continued chance of spot showers today so grab the umbrella just in case. Things will also be breezy, adding to the unfortunate chill that has refused to leave us alone.
We're starting to get to one of my favorite times of the year. It seems as if we blinked and here we are with May and Memorial Day right around the corner. April has been downright cold, with temperatures over 5 degrees below normal at BDL. Incredible.
Well, it looks like the big cold departures from normal are going to become a thing of the past, as we head into the last month of meteorological spring.
On May 1st, the average high temperature is 67 at BDL.
On May 31st, the average high temperature is 75 at BDL.
This week we will see a first taste of summer.
Sunday/Monday
Today and tomorrow are our last two cool days for the foreseeable future. We've seen rain showers through much of the day so far, as a cutoff low traverses the region. Although things look to be drying out a bit, with maybe even a few peeks of sun, there will be a continued chance of spot showers today so grab the umbrella just in case. Things will also be breezy, adding to the unfortunate chill that has refused to leave us alone.
GOES visible satellite imagery. Things look to be drying out a bit, particularly in western parts of the state.
Monday looks colder with more shower chances. Simply put, it's a fitting ending to April. A big change comes after that...
Tuesday
By Tuesday, the first day of May, the warmup begins. The cutoff low departs, and a large area of high pressure begins to build in the south. As a result, we get drier conditions and warmer temperatures. On Tuesday, highs should be breaking above normal. It will have a much different look and feel to what we've experienced the last few weeks.
Monday looks colder with more shower chances. Simply put, it's a fitting ending to April. A big change comes after that...
Tuesday
By Tuesday, the first day of May, the warmup begins. The cutoff low departs, and a large area of high pressure begins to build in the south. As a result, we get drier conditions and warmer temperatures. On Tuesday, highs should be breaking above normal. It will have a much different look and feel to what we've experienced the last few weeks.
The GEFS upper level pattern evolution over the next week. We go from a cutoff low bringing cool and wet conditions to a large ridge of high pressure that brings summer-like warmth.
Wednesday/Thursday
Taste of summer!
The middle to end of the week looks downright warm, with high pressure firmly in control. We should be mostly dry during this period, with sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 80s inland. Temperatures could even go a bit higher in some of the usual favored valley locations. Highs will be a touch cooler at the shore with the sea breeze, but likely not by much. Maybe a midweek trip to the beach will be in order?
While Wednesday looks to have humidity kept in check, Thursday could be a bit more humid, raising chances of showers or thunderstorms.
Taste of summer!
The middle to end of the week looks downright warm, with high pressure firmly in control. We should be mostly dry during this period, with sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 80s inland. Temperatures could even go a bit higher in some of the usual favored valley locations. Highs will be a touch cooler at the shore with the sea breeze, but likely not by much. Maybe a midweek trip to the beach will be in order?
While Wednesday looks to have humidity kept in check, Thursday could be a bit more humid, raising chances of showers or thunderstorms.
Above, GFS highs for Wednesday. Below, GFS highs for Thursday. This week will look more like July!
Friday
Friday is a transition day. We likely see another summer-like day, but a cold front will be approaching from the west. The key to this forecast period is the timing of the front. If it is slower, we see highs in the 80s and a chance of showers pushed off. If it is faster, we likely see slightly cooler temperatures and an increased shower risk. Right now, I am forecasting a slower progression of the front.
Saturday
The start of the weekend currently looks nice. Should the cold front move through during the overnight Friday hours, after a few showers, we should see a beautiful Saturday with highs closer to seasonable averages across the state.
The Dailies
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the low to mid 50s. Chance of showers 40%.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of showers 60%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, warmer, and increasing humidity. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of showers late 20%.
Friday: Partly sunny with showers possible. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of showers 30%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and seasonable. Highs in the low to mid 70s. Chance of showers early 20%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
Friday is a transition day. We likely see another summer-like day, but a cold front will be approaching from the west. The key to this forecast period is the timing of the front. If it is slower, we see highs in the 80s and a chance of showers pushed off. If it is faster, we likely see slightly cooler temperatures and an increased shower risk. Right now, I am forecasting a slower progression of the front.
Saturday
The start of the weekend currently looks nice. Should the cold front move through during the overnight Friday hours, after a few showers, we should see a beautiful Saturday with highs closer to seasonable averages across the state.
The Dailies
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the low to mid 50s. Chance of showers 40%.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of showers 60%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, warmer, and increasing humidity. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of showers late 20%.
Friday: Partly sunny with showers possible. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of showers 30%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and seasonable. Highs in the low to mid 70s. Chance of showers early 20%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
