Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
The pattern that brought us well above normal and humid conditions has broken, and we are rolling along into the second half of October. This week will feel more like November than October at times, with multiple chances of showers.
The pattern that brought us well above normal and humid conditions has broken, and we are rolling along into the second half of October. This week will feel more like November than October at times, with multiple chances of showers.
Above is the latest medium range outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. Although it covers the latter portion of the forecast period, the pattern change to bring below normal temperatures is here, and it may be here to stay for at least the rest of the month.
Monday
Tomorrow is wet. Again. An area of low pressure will be passing through the region, and will bring periods of showers through the day. Some rain could be heavier at times. Overall, it's the warmest day of the week, which isn't saying much with temperatures staying in the 50s for many and struggling to reach 60 in our typical warmer spots. It doesn't look like a lot of rain, but just enough to make today a subpar kind of day.
Monday
Tomorrow is wet. Again. An area of low pressure will be passing through the region, and will bring periods of showers through the day. Some rain could be heavier at times. Overall, it's the warmest day of the week, which isn't saying much with temperatures staying in the 50s for many and struggling to reach 60 in our typical warmer spots. It doesn't look like a lot of rain, but just enough to make today a subpar kind of day.
Tuesday/Wednesday
The period of showers probably doesn't end until the early morning hours of Tuesday, and after the storm passes we see cooler temperatures and brighter conditions. Tuesday looks nice.
Wednesday is a transition day. We should see another nice day, with mostly clear conditions, but clouds may increase as we see another cold front push toward the region. This will signal the arrival of our first notable cool blast of the season. Wednesday will bring the chance of showers, and while there's not a enough confidence to put in the dailies section, I think there's a very slight chance that some of the northwest hill towns see a snowflake or two mixed in with some showers. Wednesday night/Thursday morning will be cold, and I think we could see our first freeze in some of the hill towns and a widespread frost for areas away from the shore.
Thursday
Thursday will be our first day with a truly cold feel to it. Conditions should be nice overall, but after the cold start I mentioned above, daytime temperatures will stay in the 40s. That's more reminiscent of a late November or early December day. With the hot summer and warm fall we've had, it will feel like winter to many. If we get radiational cooling (clear skies, no wind) Thursday night, we could see the another freeze in the hill towns and our first freeze in much of interior Connecticut. For now, I'll go a little higher with overnight temps, but that's something we'll be watching closely.
The period of showers probably doesn't end until the early morning hours of Tuesday, and after the storm passes we see cooler temperatures and brighter conditions. Tuesday looks nice.
Wednesday is a transition day. We should see another nice day, with mostly clear conditions, but clouds may increase as we see another cold front push toward the region. This will signal the arrival of our first notable cool blast of the season. Wednesday will bring the chance of showers, and while there's not a enough confidence to put in the dailies section, I think there's a very slight chance that some of the northwest hill towns see a snowflake or two mixed in with some showers. Wednesday night/Thursday morning will be cold, and I think we could see our first freeze in some of the hill towns and a widespread frost for areas away from the shore.
Thursday
Thursday will be our first day with a truly cold feel to it. Conditions should be nice overall, but after the cold start I mentioned above, daytime temperatures will stay in the 40s. That's more reminiscent of a late November or early December day. With the hot summer and warm fall we've had, it will feel like winter to many. If we get radiational cooling (clear skies, no wind) Thursday night, we could see the another freeze in the hill towns and our first freeze in much of interior Connecticut. For now, I'll go a little higher with overnight temps, but that's something we'll be watching closely.
12z European Model depiction of 850mb temperatures each morning through the weekend. These are not used to show what happens at the surface, rather, they are used to provide us with an indication of the potential strength of the cold. Notice how another cold push aloft moves into the region on Sunday.
Friday-Sunday
The weekend looks a bit unsettled currently. Some of the guidance is developing an area of low pressure in the vicinity, that would bring showers on Saturday and possibly Sunday. Right now, I don't think we're talking about a washout, but it is something to keep in mind. Another cold push comes by Sunday.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Some rain may be moderate to heavy at times. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. Chance of rain 90%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and cooler. Highs in the low to mid 50s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Overnight lows (Wednesday into Thursday) in the low to mid 30s inland and upper 30s to low 40s at the shore. Chance of rain 20%.
Thursday: Partly cloudy and cold. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Overnight lows in the upper 20s (hills) to mid 30s inland, with lows in the mid to upper 30s at the shore.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of rain 30%
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of rain 20%
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
The weekend looks a bit unsettled currently. Some of the guidance is developing an area of low pressure in the vicinity, that would bring showers on Saturday and possibly Sunday. Right now, I don't think we're talking about a washout, but it is something to keep in mind. Another cold push comes by Sunday.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Some rain may be moderate to heavy at times. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. Chance of rain 90%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and cooler. Highs in the low to mid 50s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Overnight lows (Wednesday into Thursday) in the low to mid 30s inland and upper 30s to low 40s at the shore. Chance of rain 20%.
Thursday: Partly cloudy and cold. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Overnight lows in the upper 20s (hills) to mid 30s inland, with lows in the mid to upper 30s at the shore.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of rain 30%
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of rain 20%
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
