Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
Dry weekends have been hard to come by, and it was no different this weekend with a washout today. The week ahead looks mostly quiet, but there are a couple of systems I'm watching as the week progresses.
Dry weekends have been hard to come by, and it was no different this weekend with a washout today. The week ahead looks mostly quiet, but there are a couple of systems I'm watching as the week progresses.
Above: the EPS averaged temperature anomaly for much of our forecast period. After a warm few days to start December, we seesaw this week with dropping temperatures and another potential mild up this coming weekend.
Monday-Tuesday
The storm system that brought us rain and brought snow to much of northern New England will be slow to depart, meaning that we are likely to see additional cloudy conditions tomorrow, though not to the extent of what we saw today obviously with the rain. There may be a spot shower, but tomorrow looks dry. Tuesday looks dry and colder with temperatures closer to normal. Expect a mix of sun and clouds.
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week is tricky, as colder air filters in and a low develops well to our south. The storm system itself is a miss on Wednesday, but some of the models are signaling an inverted trough--essentially a narrow area where conditions converge for precipitation to fall--somewhere in eastern New England.
For CT, especially eastern CT, that mean that some snow showers are possible. Further east into eastern Mass, some minor accumulations are possible. These are notoriously difficult to predict, but the signal is there. Stay tuned for additional updates if necessary. Temperatures look below normal during this period with highs in the 30s for most.
The storm system that brought us rain and brought snow to much of northern New England will be slow to depart, meaning that we are likely to see additional cloudy conditions tomorrow, though not to the extent of what we saw today obviously with the rain. There may be a spot shower, but tomorrow looks dry. Tuesday looks dry and colder with temperatures closer to normal. Expect a mix of sun and clouds.
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week is tricky, as colder air filters in and a low develops well to our south. The storm system itself is a miss on Wednesday, but some of the models are signaling an inverted trough--essentially a narrow area where conditions converge for precipitation to fall--somewhere in eastern New England.
For CT, especially eastern CT, that mean that some snow showers are possible. Further east into eastern Mass, some minor accumulations are possible. These are notoriously difficult to predict, but the signal is there. Stay tuned for additional updates if necessary. Temperatures look below normal during this period with highs in the 30s for most.
Thursday is tricky too, though less so than Thursday. The models try to dive a clipper down from the north, but most guidance says the upper pattern is such that the system is shredded and brings no precipitation. The Euro however tries to keep it together a touch. This is discounted for now, but something for us to just keep an eye on for more rain or snow showers. Thursday is seasonably cold as well.
Friday-Sunday
The weekend looks unsettled again. While Friday looks fine with temperatures rebounding near normal, all guidance has a big storm developing at some point over the weekend--most likely Sunday at this time--that would bring more rain. For now, I'll keep rain centered on Sunday, but just keep an eye out for potential shifting in guidance to bring in rain earlier or later.
Friday-Sunday
The weekend looks unsettled again. While Friday looks fine with temperatures rebounding near normal, all guidance has a big storm developing at some point over the weekend--most likely Sunday at this time--that would bring more rain. For now, I'll keep rain centered on Sunday, but just keep an eye out for potential shifting in guidance to bring in rain earlier or later.
Above: the 18z GFS depiction of the possible weekend storm. A (rain) storm is coming, but timing remains up in the air. Most likely Sunday at this time.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of rain 10%.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and colder. Highs in the low to mid 40s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s at the shoreline. Chance of snow 20%.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and seasonable. Highs in the low to mid 40s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers late. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Chance of rain 30%.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with rain. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 50%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of rain 10%.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and colder. Highs in the low to mid 40s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s at the shoreline. Chance of snow 20%.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and seasonable. Highs in the low to mid 40s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers late. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Chance of rain 30%.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with rain. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 50%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
