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Forecaster Discussion--2/23/20

2/23/2020

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Good evening from SCW. 

This will be a short discussion. The nice stretch of weather will continue through tomorrow, with what looks like the pick of the week! We will see a seesaw type week, starting out warm and dry and transitioning to unsettled before cool and dry conditions by the end of the week. 
Picture
The latest snow depth map issued by the NERFC. Even this map is a bit generous. There is virtually no snow in southern New England. 

Monday
Tomorrow looks fantastic. We should see sunny skies and highs in the 50s at the shoreline and near 60 inland! It will be a wonderful taste of spring, with temperatures nearly 20 degrees above normal. If it's not going to snow, we might as well embrace the warmth. 

Tuesday-Thursday
The middle of the week looks unsettled. We will see a series of low pressures traverse the region, each bringing slightly cooler (but still above normal) conditions and rain. Tuesday looks to be the start of this period, though I do not think it is a washout. Rain may actually hold off until the evening hours. The same is true for Wednesday, in the sense that I don't think we see a washout, but it'll be worth having the umbrella. 

Thursday looks wet, at least during the early hours. A relatively strong area of low pressure will develop and bring rain to the region. Timing is still a bit uncertain, but for now, at least the morning should have some rain showers around. As the low departs, I do expect breezy conditions. That said, I don't think we're looking at a high end wind event. 
Picture
Friday-Sunday
In the wake of the departing storm, we will see colder conditions enter the region. Friday through Sunday currently look dry and colder, with some continued breezy conditions on Friday giving way fairly quickly depending on how fast the storm moves away. There are no signals for any winter storms for the foreseeable future. 

The Dailies
Monday: Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. Highs in the low 50s at the shore to low 60s inland. 

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of rain 50%. 

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of rain 60%

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Breezy. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Chance of rain 70%. 

Friday: Decreasing clouds and breezy. Much cooler. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. 

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 30s. 

Sunday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid to upper 30s.

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Thank you for reading SCW. 

-DB​ 
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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