Good evening from SCW.
The last week of February has arrived, and we kick things off with what may be a high end wind event. Let's dive right in.
Monday
As I mentioned earlier on Facebook, a High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire state between now and 7pm tomorrow. This is the result of a powerful storm developing to our north (of course, given this winter) and a strong high pressure that is taking shape in the Midwest. The resulting pressure gradient and cold air advection in the wake of the cold front passing through will bring us strong winds tomorrow.
The last week of February has arrived, and we kick things off with what may be a high end wind event. Let's dive right in.
Monday
As I mentioned earlier on Facebook, a High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire state between now and 7pm tomorrow. This is the result of a powerful storm developing to our north (of course, given this winter) and a strong high pressure that is taking shape in the Midwest. The resulting pressure gradient and cold air advection in the wake of the cold front passing through will bring us strong winds tomorrow.
Above is the the latest GFS showing winds *at 850mb* tomorrow. We will not see these kinds of wind sustained at the surface, but with effective mixing, we could see damaging wind gusts on the order of 50-65 mph. With high winds and saturated soil, I expect scattered power outages that could be more widespread statewide should we get some of the higher end gusts. If you are in an area that loses power easily, be prepared to lose it tomorrow.
The highest wind gusts are likely to occur tomorrow afternoon, between 1-4pm. The wind should begin to diminish Monday evening, but will remain strong into early Tuesday.
Tuesday-Wednesday
Both days look sunny and cold, as high pressure settles in. We should see dry days with Tuesday below freezing for most and Wednesday perhaps a bit warmer. By late Wednesday we're watching the potential for a weak low to pass to our south, which may bring a period of wintry precipitation.
Thursday-Friday
The weak low that I mentioned above looks like it may impact the area early Thursday as well. With cold air in place, it seems at this point that this could be a mostly light snow event. I'm not going to lie to you though: I've written that sentence only to be burned enough to tell you that any kind of "all snow" event given the overall pattern isn't something I'm willing to bet anything on. Let's see where things stand on Wednesday morning...
At any rate, the system looks like a quick mover and becomes the first of what could be a series of lows bringing unsettled weather the latter half of the week. Friday looks like it could be unsettled as well with some rain possible.
The highest wind gusts are likely to occur tomorrow afternoon, between 1-4pm. The wind should begin to diminish Monday evening, but will remain strong into early Tuesday.
Tuesday-Wednesday
Both days look sunny and cold, as high pressure settles in. We should see dry days with Tuesday below freezing for most and Wednesday perhaps a bit warmer. By late Wednesday we're watching the potential for a weak low to pass to our south, which may bring a period of wintry precipitation.
Thursday-Friday
The weak low that I mentioned above looks like it may impact the area early Thursday as well. With cold air in place, it seems at this point that this could be a mostly light snow event. I'm not going to lie to you though: I've written that sentence only to be burned enough to tell you that any kind of "all snow" event given the overall pattern isn't something I'm willing to bet anything on. Let's see where things stand on Wednesday morning...
At any rate, the system looks like a quick mover and becomes the first of what could be a series of lows bringing unsettled weather the latter half of the week. Friday looks like it could be unsettled as well with some rain possible.
The Weekend
Unfortunately, the first weekend of March isn't looking too great. There is a signal for another storm, but--stop me if you heard this before--it looks like a mixed bag to rain event currently. We're still pretty far away so things can obviously change, but for now, it looks like a storm that cuts to our west, bringing us wintry precipitation that changes to rain, followed by cold in its wake. What a winter.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly sunny and very windy. Maximum wind gusts of 50-65mph statewide. Daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of snow showers 10%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and cold. Highs in the mid to upper 20s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with increasing clouds. Chance of snow by evening. Highs in the low to mid 20s. Chance of snow 40%.
Thursday: Snow early with gradual clearing. Highs in the low to mid 30s. Chance of snow 50%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 20%.
Saturday: Chance of mixed precipitation changing to rain. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 50%.
Sunday: Chance of rain showers, otherwise mostly cloudy and colder. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 30%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading and trusting SCW.
-DB
Unfortunately, the first weekend of March isn't looking too great. There is a signal for another storm, but--stop me if you heard this before--it looks like a mixed bag to rain event currently. We're still pretty far away so things can obviously change, but for now, it looks like a storm that cuts to our west, bringing us wintry precipitation that changes to rain, followed by cold in its wake. What a winter.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly sunny and very windy. Maximum wind gusts of 50-65mph statewide. Daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of snow showers 10%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and cold. Highs in the mid to upper 20s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with increasing clouds. Chance of snow by evening. Highs in the low to mid 20s. Chance of snow 40%.
Thursday: Snow early with gradual clearing. Highs in the low to mid 30s. Chance of snow 50%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 20%.
Saturday: Chance of mixed precipitation changing to rain. Highs in the low to mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 50%.
Sunday: Chance of rain showers, otherwise mostly cloudy and colder. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 30%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading and trusting SCW.
-DB
