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Forecaster Discussion--4/7/19

4/7/2019

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Good evening from SCW. 

This is a short discussion tonight. After a wonderful weekend with warm and mostly sunny conditions, we will start the next week with rainy conditions. Overall, the week is looking stormy, with a few nice days mixed in. 

Monday-Tuesday
Rain showers will overspread the state tonight, and tomorrow is looking damp. One of the biggest questions is where a warm front hangs up. Those on the right side of the wedge will see temperatures in the 60s, with those on the wrong side possibly seeing highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. My guess is that much of Tolland and Windham Counties end up on the colder side, while the rest of the state "lucks out". Overall, this isn't expected to be a big rain event, but you'll want the umbrella during the day. Rain should depart briefly during the evening hours, but more showers are possible Tuesday with cooler conditions statewide.  
Picture
Above: NAM Hi-Res depiction of the rain showers on Monday and Tuesday. Although not expected to be a big rain event, rain could be moderate to heavy at times tomorrow, especially in the morning. 

Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week looks cooler, but we should see better conditions on Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure builds in briefly after the unsettled weather departs. Temperatures look to be slightly below normal both days. 

Friday-Sunday
We return to unsettled conditions as we move into the weekend. Another system looks to traverse the region on Friday, though the timing is still unclear. Currently, it looks like a weak system will bring rain showers on Friday and possibly into early Saturday. Should things clear in time, Saturday will be an ok day. 

Sadly, that may not necessarily last, as another rain event is possible on Sunday. This far out though, there's plenty of time for that to change. Temperatures should be a bit warmer than they were on the preceding days. 

The Dailies
Monday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s in central and southern CT, with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s in northeast CT. Chance of rain 90%. 

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of rain 40%. 

Wednesday: Partly cloudy and seasonably cool. Highs in the low 50s. 

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. 

Friday: Increasing clouds with rain showers possible. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s. Chance of rain 40%. 

Saturday: Chance of showers early with clearing during the day. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of early showers 20%. 

Sunday: Increasing clouds with a chance of rain late. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 30%. 

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Thank you for reading SCW. 

-DB​
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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