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Forecaster Discussion--5/8/22: Spring! With a Taste of Summer...

5/8/2022

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Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!

It was a pretty rough weekend with cold and dreary conditions on Saturday and somewhat better conditions on this Mother's Day, but as we head into this next week of May we may very well see the best weather week of the year! As GP noted in his forecast, the pattern is changing. It'll be gradual early, with a taste of summer by the end of the week. Let's dive in!
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Above, the GEFS temperature anomaly for the latter half of the forecast period. There's a strong signal for a quick and brief transition from spring to summer-like conditions. 
​
Monday-Wednesday
The start of the week will see us finally pull out of the colder pattern we've been in, with our departing storm still influencing our weather by bringing continued breezy conditions on Monday. It'll be warmer, with high temperatures in the 60s, but the breeze may have it feel colder. 

Tuesday we really break free and sprint toward springtime conditions. The wind will diminish and we should see sunny and outstanding conditions statewide. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s with temperatures a little cooler at the shoreline due to the sea breeze. 

Wednesday will be even better, with temperatures in the 70s in most places, again, a bit cooler at the shore but still wonderful. 
Picture
Ridging sets up in this GFS run above, which will allow for us to briefly flip from spring to summer at the end of the week. 

​Thursday-Sunday
Thursday we start turning up the heat. Ridging should be in place and allow for a significant warm up, with highs in the 80s for most of inland areas. Expect sunny, warm and increasingly humid conditions during the Thursday-Saturday period, with Saturday the closest chance inland areas have to reaching the upper 80s to maybe even a spot 90. We'll be watching. 

Sunday is more tricky, as we watch the advance of a cold front. There may be some showers around depending on the timing of a front, but for now, I will keep shower chances low and continue the warm conditions. 

The Dailies
Monday: Partly cloudy and breezy. Highs in the low to mid 60s. 

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. A bit cooler at the immediate shoreline. 

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 70s. 

Thursday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. 

Friday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the low to mid 80s. 

Saturday: Partly cloudy, warm and humid. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. 

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain 30%. 

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Thank you for reading SCW. 
​
-DB
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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