Good morning from Southern Connecticut Weather.
Happy Monday! The weekend brought a mixed bag, with a beautiful Saturday followed up by a cooler, cloudy, and sometimes rainy Sunday. The week ahead is looking fairly similar to the last, with a few rain chances and some thunderstorm opportunities. The week will start with warm temperatures that are more usual for this time of year, followed by a downward trend in temperature and humidity.
This is the warmest time of the year, climatologically speaking, so each day we're not hot we are catching a break. Let's dive in.
Monday
Today looks to be a good day overall, although we're going to battle the heat a bit. Fog and clouds should break to partly to mostly sunny conditions during the late morning and afternoon, and temperatures will respond. For inland areas, we're expecting more humidity and temperatures in the upper 80s to near 90. For most of the shoreline, temperatures will be warm as well with highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Tuesday
Tuesday looks great as well, at least early on, with warm and sunny conditions. Temperatures should be close to what they are today, with highs in the mid to upper 80s and a few spots inland potentially touching 90.
Later in the afternoon and evening, a cold front will advance and bring the chance of rain showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms depending on the timing. It'll be good to have the umbrella handy, but again, most of the day will be fine. The period where we might see the most widespread showers currently looks to be overnight into early Wednesday.
Happy Monday! The weekend brought a mixed bag, with a beautiful Saturday followed up by a cooler, cloudy, and sometimes rainy Sunday. The week ahead is looking fairly similar to the last, with a few rain chances and some thunderstorm opportunities. The week will start with warm temperatures that are more usual for this time of year, followed by a downward trend in temperature and humidity.
This is the warmest time of the year, climatologically speaking, so each day we're not hot we are catching a break. Let's dive in.
Monday
Today looks to be a good day overall, although we're going to battle the heat a bit. Fog and clouds should break to partly to mostly sunny conditions during the late morning and afternoon, and temperatures will respond. For inland areas, we're expecting more humidity and temperatures in the upper 80s to near 90. For most of the shoreline, temperatures will be warm as well with highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Tuesday
Tuesday looks great as well, at least early on, with warm and sunny conditions. Temperatures should be close to what they are today, with highs in the mid to upper 80s and a few spots inland potentially touching 90.
Later in the afternoon and evening, a cold front will advance and bring the chance of rain showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms depending on the timing. It'll be good to have the umbrella handy, but again, most of the day will be fine. The period where we might see the most widespread showers currently looks to be overnight into early Wednesday.
Above: GFS depiction of Tuesday and early Wednesday, with showers and possible storms most likely late Tuesday.
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week is looking like our unsettled period, as the aforementioned cold front stalls to our south. Wednesday looks cooler with highs in the lower 80s, and will come with the chance of showers, but right now it is Thursday that is looking mostly wet. A second cold front is expected to push through the region, from the northwest bringing another chance of showers and thunderstorms. Nothing looks particularly severe at this point, but depending on the location of the (first) stalled front (which may try to push through our region as a warm front) we could see some stronger storms.
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week is looking like our unsettled period, as the aforementioned cold front stalls to our south. Wednesday looks cooler with highs in the lower 80s, and will come with the chance of showers, but right now it is Thursday that is looking mostly wet. A second cold front is expected to push through the region, from the northwest bringing another chance of showers and thunderstorms. Nothing looks particularly severe at this point, but depending on the location of the (first) stalled front (which may try to push through our region as a warm front) we could see some stronger storms.
Above: GFS depiction of the rain on Thursday and possibly early Friday. Note how things clear later in the day on Friday, clearing the path to a nice weekend!
Friday-Sunday
In the wake of the second cold front we should see fantastic conditions. Unless we see a significant change in the timing of the cold front on Thursday, Friday looks to be very nice after some possible morning showers, with below normal and comfortable temperatures and sunny conditions during the afternoon and evening.
That should continue into the weekend, as high pressure takes control. In fact, for the first time in about a month it is looking like we could see an extended break from the rain! Below is the final GFS depiction showing the temperature trend. After a warm Monday and Tuesday we should see below normal temperatures for virtually the remainder of the forecast period. The GFS does try to bring in another cold front on Sunday, which could mean possible showers, but for now I am discounting that, at least with regard to timing.
Friday-Sunday
In the wake of the second cold front we should see fantastic conditions. Unless we see a significant change in the timing of the cold front on Thursday, Friday looks to be very nice after some possible morning showers, with below normal and comfortable temperatures and sunny conditions during the afternoon and evening.
That should continue into the weekend, as high pressure takes control. In fact, for the first time in about a month it is looking like we could see an extended break from the rain! Below is the final GFS depiction showing the temperature trend. After a warm Monday and Tuesday we should see below normal temperatures for virtually the remainder of the forecast period. The GFS does try to bring in another cold front on Sunday, which could mean possible showers, but for now I am discounting that, at least with regard to timing.
The Dailies
Monday: Early clouds and fog transitioning to partly to mostly sunny conditions. Warm and humid. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s inland and mid to upper 80s at the shore.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny early, with increasing clouds in the afternoon and a chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s inland and mod to upper 80s at the shore.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of rain 30%.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain 50%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy early with a chance of showers followed by partly to mostly sunny conditions. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain early 20%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds late. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
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Thank you for reading.
-DB
Monday: Early clouds and fog transitioning to partly to mostly sunny conditions. Warm and humid. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s inland and mid to upper 80s at the shore.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny early, with increasing clouds in the afternoon and a chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s inland and mod to upper 80s at the shore.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the low 80s. Chance of rain 30%.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain 50%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy early with a chance of showers followed by partly to mostly sunny conditions. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain early 20%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds late. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading.
-DB
