Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather.
It was a beautiful weekend with sunny skies, nice temperatures, and low humidity. I hope you were able to enjoy it!
Unfortunately, the down side is that dry conditions continue, and as I low key expected, the rain "threat" for early week has mostly vanished. The weekly drought monitor update puts more of CT into the moderate and severe drought category. Not too far over the border, parts of RI and MA are now in the extreme drought category.
It was a beautiful weekend with sunny skies, nice temperatures, and low humidity. I hope you were able to enjoy it!
Unfortunately, the down side is that dry conditions continue, and as I low key expected, the rain "threat" for early week has mostly vanished. The weekly drought monitor update puts more of CT into the moderate and severe drought category. Not too far over the border, parts of RI and MA are now in the extreme drought category.
Above: NRCC Northeast precipitation map plotting the general departure from normal rainfall over the last 90 days. It may not be long until parts of CT are in the extreme drought category if this keeps up.
Monday-Tuesday
For the start of the week, we see temperatures rebound a bit with nice conditions continuing. Humidity will remain low. By late Tuesday, we should be watching a developing low off the coast. Highs are seasonable, with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, maybe mid 80s in our typical warm spots.
Wednesday-Thursday
While I wish this section of the discussion were devoted to a strong coastal low slingshotting itself into the region, bringing us multiple days of rain, it's not. Maybe it's an example of dry begets dry, but it looks like the coastal low will develop far enough out to sea that we see very little, if any, rainfall. Models have been all over the place the last day or so with the low, so I suppose there's still hope, but we need some help to make it happen. Overall, the low does bring in a cooler flow especially on Wednesday. It'll feel like fall with highs in the 70s Wednesday and gradually rebounding on Thursday.
Monday-Tuesday
For the start of the week, we see temperatures rebound a bit with nice conditions continuing. Humidity will remain low. By late Tuesday, we should be watching a developing low off the coast. Highs are seasonable, with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, maybe mid 80s in our typical warm spots.
Wednesday-Thursday
While I wish this section of the discussion were devoted to a strong coastal low slingshotting itself into the region, bringing us multiple days of rain, it's not. Maybe it's an example of dry begets dry, but it looks like the coastal low will develop far enough out to sea that we see very little, if any, rainfall. Models have been all over the place the last day or so with the low, so I suppose there's still hope, but we need some help to make it happen. Overall, the low does bring in a cooler flow especially on Wednesday. It'll feel like fall with highs in the 70s Wednesday and gradually rebounding on Thursday.
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Above: the GFS (left) and Euro (right) showing a wide right miss by a weak coastal storm. We may see showers, but nothing particularly meaningful.
Friday-Sunday
In the wake of the storm we start to warm up again, though we're not talking about heat wave heat here. We should see high pressure build in and with it, some southwesterly flow. That would likely mean humidity creeping up a bit and higher temperatures. Rainfall chances? Not particularly high.
Overall, boring with a worsening drought likely. The pattern preventing rain has just been stuck, much like the tropics, which seem to be stuck in neutral at the moment.
The Dailies
Monday: Partly sunny and nice. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
Tuesday: Partly sunny with increasing clouds late. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of rain late 20%.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with cool and breezy conditions. Highs in the low to mid 70s. Chance of rain 20%.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, warmer, and humid. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
Friday-Sunday
In the wake of the storm we start to warm up again, though we're not talking about heat wave heat here. We should see high pressure build in and with it, some southwesterly flow. That would likely mean humidity creeping up a bit and higher temperatures. Rainfall chances? Not particularly high.
Overall, boring with a worsening drought likely. The pattern preventing rain has just been stuck, much like the tropics, which seem to be stuck in neutral at the moment.
The Dailies
Monday: Partly sunny and nice. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
Tuesday: Partly sunny with increasing clouds late. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of rain late 20%.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with cool and breezy conditions. Highs in the low to mid 70s. Chance of rain 20%.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, warmer, and humid. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 80s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
