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Forecaster's Discussion--10/22/17

10/22/2017

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​Good morning from Southern Connecticut Weather!
 
It is another beautiful day in Connecticut, with crisp morning conditions and mostly clear skies. Enjoy today, because the week ahead looks mostly unsettled with a seesaw in temperatures.
 
Today
Yesterday was a near record warm day, with highs in the low 80s in central Connecticut! Today looks beautiful and warm, but slightly “cooler”. Expect highs in the mid to upper 70s inland with maybe a spot 80, with most of the shoreline a few degrees cooler. It’s a great day to get out to a park. 
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​Monday
Tomorrow is a bit of a transition day, with Connecticut mostly dry and slightly cooler, but dealing with increasing clouds and a little humidity as a strong cold front advances. I won’t rule out a chance of showers, but I think the rain doesn’t begin until early Tuesday.
 
Tuesday-Wednesday
Breaking the monotony of warm and dry, a strong cold front starts moving through the region by Tuesday. This will be a potent and slow moving event, and I currently believe that this may be a significant one for Connecticut. 
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​Essentially, a deep trough to our west will put us under the influence of a strong southerly low level jet and high moisture content. This will serve to provide us with periods of heavy rain and strong winds. Overall, I expect winds that could gust over 40 mph, which could cause some problems, and rainfall totals of 1.5” to 3” with some areas potentially going higher than that. Expect the highest winds in some of the heavier rain/thunderstorms. 
​Thursday
Thursday starts off a bit unsettled as the cold front remains slow to fully push off, but we should see clearing as the day progresses. We start getting a look of fall, with more seasonable temperatures.
 
Friday-Saturday
Currently, Friday and Saturday look great, with sunny skies and seasonable conditions. It should be a nice start to the next weekend! I am currently hedging lower on temperatures, but we could be seeing temperatures warmer than normal again. Either way, we’ll be watching another cold front to the west to see how strong it is and whether we see a taste of fall or winter as we roll into November. 
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The Dailies
Sunday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the low 70s at the shore and mid to upper 70s inland. 

Monday: Increasing clouds with a chance of showers late. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Chance of rain 20%. 

Tuesday:
Rainy and windy conditions. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Rain may be heavy at times. Chance of rain 90%. 

Wednesday: 
Rainy and windy conditions. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Rain may be heavy at times. Chance of rain 90%. 

Thursday: Chance of showers early giving way to clearing conditions. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 30%. 
 

Friday: Mostly sunny with seasonable temperatures. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Saturday: 
Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 60s.  

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​- DB
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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