Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather! Warm weather tomorrow looks to quickly move out by Thursday this week as another cold vortex of air will be with us through to the weekend. Not nearly as cold as what we experienced yesterday, but definitely nippy weather. Beside temperatures we have another frontal system on the cards for Thursday, but this storm looks like a rain event.
Current Setup:
High pressure is centered in upstate NY, and the resulting flow for the state is a northerly one, which explains the cold dry air and the clear skies for the day. Temperatures capped off around the mid 20s statewide with abundant sunshine. In Texas, there is a low pressure system that is associated with an upper level trough. This will be our weather maker for Thursday.
Current Setup:
High pressure is centered in upstate NY, and the resulting flow for the state is a northerly one, which explains the cold dry air and the clear skies for the day. Temperatures capped off around the mid 20s statewide with abundant sunshine. In Texas, there is a low pressure system that is associated with an upper level trough. This will be our weather maker for Thursday.
Here is the GFS run at 500 mb (vorticity). You an see a deep trough in the southwest weaken and split off into two separate systems through Thursday. One system heads northeast towards Canada and the other carries through towards New England. According to this there is a lack of upper dynamics to intensify this storm, which is why we don't expect a major storm to develop.
Wednesday:
Temperatures Wednesday will begin in the low 20s and climb to the mid 40s by midday. But in the late afternoon a warm front will pass through. High clouds will build and a resulting southerly flow will develop. This should keep temperatures from dropping into the 30s. Late Wednesday rain showers will develop heading into Thursday morning.
Thursday:
Early Thursday morning, light rain will become increasingly more steady. It is possible that the higher elevations of the Litchfield hills could see a light wintry mix at first before switching over to all rain early Thursday. Temperatures should rise into the upper 40s statewide, with models suggesting possible high temps in the 50s, but I remain skeptical. In terms of precip amounts, we are looking at a good inch to an inch for the state. Expect moderate to heavy rain in the second half of the day as an approaching cold front will provide more lift. Following the passage of the cold front by the late evening, the state will dry out and cold temperatures will build in overnight.
Wednesday:
Temperatures Wednesday will begin in the low 20s and climb to the mid 40s by midday. But in the late afternoon a warm front will pass through. High clouds will build and a resulting southerly flow will develop. This should keep temperatures from dropping into the 30s. Late Wednesday rain showers will develop heading into Thursday morning.
Thursday:
Early Thursday morning, light rain will become increasingly more steady. It is possible that the higher elevations of the Litchfield hills could see a light wintry mix at first before switching over to all rain early Thursday. Temperatures should rise into the upper 40s statewide, with models suggesting possible high temps in the 50s, but I remain skeptical. In terms of precip amounts, we are looking at a good inch to an inch for the state. Expect moderate to heavy rain in the second half of the day as an approaching cold front will provide more lift. Following the passage of the cold front by the late evening, the state will dry out and cold temperatures will build in overnight.
GFS run for Thursday indicates light rain in the morning, and moderate to heavy rain for the evening.
Friday-Sunday:
A northwesterly flow will dominate for a 3-4 day period following the passage of the cold front. An arctic vortex stationed over eastern Canada will poke its head into the country, running the chance for flurries every day and very cold weather. Temperatures for this weekend will be sub-freezing and dry. Sunday evening a weak trough axis will try to develop off of the NW flow. This could pose the potential for a coating of snow Sunday afternoon and evening, but this far out it does not seem to be anything eye catching.
Friday-Sunday:
A northwesterly flow will dominate for a 3-4 day period following the passage of the cold front. An arctic vortex stationed over eastern Canada will poke its head into the country, running the chance for flurries every day and very cold weather. Temperatures for this weekend will be sub-freezing and dry. Sunday evening a weak trough axis will try to develop off of the NW flow. This could pose the potential for a coating of snow Sunday afternoon and evening, but this far out it does not seem to be anything eye catching.
500 mb heights indicate the polar vortex dropping in from Canada.
Monday - Tuesday:
A warm front will pass through Monday, allowing temperatures to climb above freezing. An approaching system from the west looks to bring rain and possibly some wintry weather for Tuesday, but nothing as of yet to watch out for.
The Dailies
Wednesday: Highs in the low 40s. Clouds building in over the afternoon. Chance for rain showers late. Chance of precip 50%.
Thursday: Rain, heavy in the afternoon and ending late. Highs in the upper 40s.
Friday: Cold and breezy. Highs in the low 30s.
Saturday: Cold. Highs in the 20s.
Sunday: Chance for snow in the afternoon. Highs in the low 30s. Chance of precip 50%.
Monday: Highs in the low 40s.
Tuesday: Chance for rain. Highs in the 30s and 40s.
Thank you for reading Southern Connecticut Weather and enjoy your evening!
-LD
Monday - Tuesday:
A warm front will pass through Monday, allowing temperatures to climb above freezing. An approaching system from the west looks to bring rain and possibly some wintry weather for Tuesday, but nothing as of yet to watch out for.
The Dailies
Wednesday: Highs in the low 40s. Clouds building in over the afternoon. Chance for rain showers late. Chance of precip 50%.
Thursday: Rain, heavy in the afternoon and ending late. Highs in the upper 40s.
Friday: Cold and breezy. Highs in the low 30s.
Saturday: Cold. Highs in the 20s.
Sunday: Chance for snow in the afternoon. Highs in the low 30s. Chance of precip 50%.
Monday: Highs in the low 40s.
Tuesday: Chance for rain. Highs in the 30s and 40s.
Thank you for reading Southern Connecticut Weather and enjoy your evening!
-LD
