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Forecasters Discussion 12/31/15

12/31/2015

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Happy New Year’s Eve from Southern Connecticut Weather​!

I am working feverishly on completing my next two week outlook, which I plan releasing tomorrow. Snow and cold lovers...it will be a must read.  

​In the meantime, here is a brief update on the week ahead. After a very active period with numerous precipitation events, the next 7 days look to be quiet, as high pressure takes control for the majority of the period.
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The latest GEFS run showing a below normal period of precipitation for the next 7 days. 

In terms of temperatures, the mega torch that prevailed during part of November and all of December is over for the foreseeable future. A pattern change is afoot. Connecticut will see temperatures near normal temperatures this weekend, and it will feel far more seasonable. A shot of arctic air is looking more likely for Monday and Tuesday of next week. It will finally feel like winter. In fact, the latest run of the European model shows most of Connecticut with a period of temperatures below 10 degrees on Tuesday morning. We'll continue to watch and see if that happens. The story of the week will be the arctic blast, bringing the coldest weather of the season so far.
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Above you can see the arctic chill coming through GFS projections of temperatures at 1pm on New Year's Day and Tuesday January 5th. The real cold will be short lived, but will herald the arrival of a regime change. Images courtesy of Weatherbell Analytics. 

The dailies:
New Year’s Eve: Partly cloudy day and seasonable. Partly to mostly cloudy evening as you countdown to 2016. Lows in the upper 20s to low 30s. 

New Year’s Day: Mostly sunny early with increasing clouds and a chance of snow showers or snow squalls in the evening. Snow squalls could produce a quick coating. Snow showers are most likely to be confined to northern CT. Highs in the mid 30s to near 40 in the cities. Lows in the mid 20s to low 30s. Chance of snow 20%. 

Saturday: Snow showers possible, mainly areas north. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 30s. Lows in the mid 20s to low 30s. Chance of snow 10%. 

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to near 40 in the cities. Lows in the low to mid 20s.  

Monday: Partly sunny and much colder, with snow showers and squalls possible. Highs in the low to mid 20s. Breezy conditions making it feel like the upper teens during the day. Nighttime lows in the teens. There could be some single digits in colder spots late Monday night into early Tuesday morning. Chance of snow 20%

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 20s. Lows in the low to mid 20s.  

Wednesday: Sunny with moderating temperatures. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Lows in the mid to upper 20s. 

Thank you for reading. Please do not forget to like this post, like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter @SouthernCTWX. Thanks!
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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