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Forecaster's Discussion 12/4/18

12/4/2018

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​Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
 
A brisk day today as temperatures climbed to just a measly 37 degrees at Bradley International Airport. Colder temperatures are well on their way for the rest of this week, yet significant snow does not appear to be in our forecast any time soon. For all the snow lovers out there, we still have plenty of time for things to turn around so hang in there! Otherwise, we are looking at a dry spell with cold, dry air from Canada playing a major role in our weather for the upcoming week.
 
 
Current Setup
High pressure to our northeast over Lake Ontario dictates our weather for today. This regime is advecting cold air from Canada across much of New England. In terms of the rest of the country, we have a very strong high pressure system dominating the flow across the central plains and southern states of the country. This system is associated with a very strong ridge that has setup shop across over much of the western and central portion of the country. Unfortunately for us, this setup at 850 mb indicates a large trough across the eastern portion of the country, which is advecting very cold air to the Ohio valley and New England.
 
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​Tuesday - Friday
Cold temperatures in the mid 30s will drop to the teens tonight across the state. Tonight winds will become calm and expect clearing skies. Wednesday and Thursday will be a similar day to Tuesday with temperatures reaching the mid 30s, and mostly clear skies. Friday a weak frontal system will pass from an upper level shortwave. This will bring the slight chance for snow showers very early Friday morning, particularly across the northern counties of the state. Otherwise, clearing and breezy for the remainder of the day.  
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NAM 12-km model output indicating a weak cold front passing through late Thursday into early Friday.


Saturday – Tuesday
Besides a cold Saturday that could see temperatures struggle to reach the 30s, the rest of the weekend appears to be dry with temperatures in the 30s. GFS model 850 mb heights output indicate a this cold regime to lay around until late next week. Unfortunately for us here in Connecticut this would mean cold temperatures, but on the flip side there is no major chances for snow in our future.
 
The Dailies
 
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 30s, lows in the teens. Cold.
 
Wednesday: Partly Cloudy. Highs in the 30s, lows in the teens. Cold.
 
Thursday: Partly Cloudy. Highs in the 30s, lows in the teens. Cold.
 
Friday: Slight chance snow showers very early. Otherwise clearing with temperatures in the low 30s.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Very cold. Temperatures in the upper 20s and lower 30s.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 30s. Cold.

Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 30s. Cold.
​
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 30s. Cold.
 
 
Thank you for reading Southern Connecticut Weather and enjoy the rest of your day!
 
-LD
 

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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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