As expected, rain is falling across the state today, as our large area of disturbed weather continues to traverse the region. Expect more rain, heavy at times, over the rest of the day. It should begin to diminish during the overnight hours as a cold front pushes through the region and finally clears us out.
Tomorrow starts out mostly cloudy, but as the cold front continues to push off the coast we'll see clearing conditions. Expect seasonable temperatures (remember that our average high temperature is now rising the further into the month we go) and clearing skies over the course of the day.
Colder conditions are expected on Tuesday, as high pressure dominates through midweek. That should give us mostly quiet and sunny conditions. Highs on Tuesday look seasonably cold, with many in the 30s, especially inland. Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning, we could see another very weak area of disturbed weather reach the area. With colder conditions, there's a slight chance of snow showers. I do not think we see anything significant precipitation wise through mid-week however.
Things begin to look warmer and unsettled by Thursday, as the high pressure that brings clear and dry conditions fades away to a series of waves that may materialize and bring us precip. The best chance of precipitation looks to be during this time period, as we see another cold front attempt to push through and a weak wave ride along it. If that is the case, depending on the timing, we could see rain showers changing to snow showers in this time range.
At this time, I don't really want to put too much stock in any model for the period, but the overall look does show a signal for some potential precip.
At first glance, the coming holiday weekend looks nice. High pressure looks to assert itself again, and we are currently looking at seasonably cold and dry conditions that moderate by Sunday. Of course, with a boundary that may hang around it is too soon to lock this in, but at least right now, President's Day weekend looks solid.
Is Winter Over?
Finally, we've gotten a fair amount of questions like this the last week. The short answer is no. Winter is not "over".
For winter (read: snow) lovers, we've been in a rough stretch after a strong start to the season. The March 1st start to Meteorological spring may be just a few weeks away, but despite this current overall pattern which does not favor significant snow events, March tends to be a month, especially recently, capable of producing snow events.
I don't see anything major in the foreseeable future, but in this region, it's hard to close the book on winter at this point in the season.
Closing the shades for a while until the pattern changes? Maybe.
Declaring an end to winter? Not yet.
Monday: Mostly cloudy early with clearing skies over the course of the day. Breezy. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with seasonably cold conditions. Highs in the low to mid 30s. Chance of snow showers late 10%.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the low to mid 50s. Chance of showers 40%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the low 40s but dropping during the day. Chance of precipitation 40%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cold. Highs in the low to mid 30s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 40s.
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