Good afternoon from Southern Connecticut Weather!
It has been a ho hum summer so far in Connecticut. No real heat, no real severe weather, and not a whole lot of rainy days. For many, this has been a great summer, for others…well some weather lovers could use more rain for their gardens or excitement to get through the dog days of summer.
Well, I don’t have much good news for the folks in the latter camp. We’re entering the warmest part of the season historically, and although there are signals for heat in the medium to long range, given the tendency for troughing to bring cooler weather relative to the rest of the nation, I need to see the heat dome to believe it.
It has been a ho hum summer so far in Connecticut. No real heat, no real severe weather, and not a whole lot of rainy days. For many, this has been a great summer, for others…well some weather lovers could use more rain for their gardens or excitement to get through the dog days of summer.
Well, I don’t have much good news for the folks in the latter camp. We’re entering the warmest part of the season historically, and although there are signals for heat in the medium to long range, given the tendency for troughing to bring cooler weather relative to the rest of the nation, I need to see the heat dome to believe it.
So far there have been six 90 degree days at BDL. We need 12 more to reach the long term seasonal average of 18 days annually. At Bridgeport, the number is far smaller. We have only one 90 degree day so far, with 5 more needed to reach our long term seasonal average of six 90 degree days annually.
Today
As low pressure crosses northern New England today, we’ll see a slight chance of showers this afternoon. Today is a bit warmer than yesterday with temperatures in the 70s for most, but we’re still socked in with clouds. Not the best of weekend days.
Today
As low pressure crosses northern New England today, we’ll see a slight chance of showers this afternoon. Today is a bit warmer than yesterday with temperatures in the 70s for most, but we’re still socked in with clouds. Not the best of weekend days.
Current visible satellite image of New England. Clouds dominate, but hey, there are some breaks of sun in there in western CT!
Monday
If you don’t like cloudy days, don’t worry—Monday sees the sun come back in full force. Northwest flow prevails, which means relatively cool temperatures and dry conditions. It may take time to clear things out in the morning, but Monday looks nice. For those at the shore, this is the kind of day where sea breezes could make this mid July day seem more like a late summer dandy.
If you don’t like cloudy days, don’t worry—Monday sees the sun come back in full force. Northwest flow prevails, which means relatively cool temperatures and dry conditions. It may take time to clear things out in the morning, but Monday looks nice. For those at the shore, this is the kind of day where sea breezes could make this mid July day seem more like a late summer dandy.
Taking a look up top at 850 temperatures tomorrow afternoon. Note the NW flow and relatively comfortable temperatures. This will translate into a very nice Monday.
Tuesday
By Tuesday we see a return to summer. Although humidity will be in the lower range, the temps will be up, especially in the interior. Most inland areas will be in the mid to upper 80s, but we can’t rule out a return to 90 degree temperatures in the usual warm spots. Expect sunny skies and no real chance of precipitation as high pressure builds to our south.
Tuesday
By Tuesday we see a return to summer. Although humidity will be in the lower range, the temps will be up, especially in the interior. Most inland areas will be in the mid to upper 80s, but we can’t rule out a return to 90 degree temperatures in the usual warm spots. Expect sunny skies and no real chance of precipitation as high pressure builds to our south.
Notice the difference just 24 hours later? High pressure builds in and keeps us dry, but we see southwest flow and as a result warmer 850 temperatures which will translate to warmer temperatures at the surface.
Wednesday—Friday
The middle to end of the week brings deep summer back to Connecticut. There are strong signals that interior locations could see a heat wave, which has been hard to come by this summer. Wednesday looks to be the start, with dew points creeping back up into the 60s, making it a noticeably warm to hot day. Even so, we expect dry conditions.
Thursday and Friday are perhaps the warmest days of the week, but are certainly the most humid. We could see dew points rise to the upper 60s to low 70s, which is oppressive. Combined with temperatures in the 90s, we could see heat indices approach the upper 90s to 100.
The middle to end of the week brings deep summer back to Connecticut. There are strong signals that interior locations could see a heat wave, which has been hard to come by this summer. Wednesday looks to be the start, with dew points creeping back up into the 60s, making it a noticeably warm to hot day. Even so, we expect dry conditions.
Thursday and Friday are perhaps the warmest days of the week, but are certainly the most humid. We could see dew points rise to the upper 60s to low 70s, which is oppressive. Combined with temperatures in the 90s, we could see heat indices approach the upper 90s to 100.
GFS temperature anomaly on Friday afternoon. Warm signal indeed.
In addition, this will be our best time for thunderstorm chances. Although Thursday looks to be a more limited day in terms of convection, Friday puts virtually everyone in the game for some boomers, as a cold front approaches the region. Some of the storms on Friday could be on the stronger side. We’ll be watching as we get closer.
Saturday
Saturday looks to be a fine day as the cold front moves out of the region. Currently, I anticipate warm but drier conditions in terms of humidity and precipitation chances.
The dailies:
Today: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s inland and low 70s at the shore. Chance of rain 30%.
Monday: Cloudy early giving way to mostly sunny conditions. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Tuesday: Warmer and mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Wednesday: Warmer and more humid with mostly sunny skies. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland with highs in the mid to upper 80s at the shore.
Thursday: Hot and humid. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland with highs in the mid to upper 80s at the shore. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30%.
Friday: Hot and humid. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland with highs in the mid to upper 80s at the shore. Chance of thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe. Chance of rain 50%.
Saturday: Seasonably warm. Less humid and sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Thank you for reading SCW!
-DB
In addition, this will be our best time for thunderstorm chances. Although Thursday looks to be a more limited day in terms of convection, Friday puts virtually everyone in the game for some boomers, as a cold front approaches the region. Some of the storms on Friday could be on the stronger side. We’ll be watching as we get closer.
Saturday
Saturday looks to be a fine day as the cold front moves out of the region. Currently, I anticipate warm but drier conditions in terms of humidity and precipitation chances.
The dailies:
Today: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s inland and low 70s at the shore. Chance of rain 30%.
Monday: Cloudy early giving way to mostly sunny conditions. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Tuesday: Warmer and mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Wednesday: Warmer and more humid with mostly sunny skies. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland with highs in the mid to upper 80s at the shore.
Thursday: Hot and humid. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland with highs in the mid to upper 80s at the shore. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30%.
Friday: Hot and humid. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland with highs in the mid to upper 80s at the shore. Chance of thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to severe. Chance of rain 50%.
Saturday: Seasonably warm. Less humid and sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Thank you for reading SCW!
-DB
