Good Evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
Over the past day or so, we have seen soaking rains from a slow moving low pressure system and cold front, especially this morning and in areas north of the shoreline. When it was not raining, clouds still persisted with intermittent mist along with muggy conditions. So not the best of days to be outside. Temperatures remained seasonable with temperatures hovering in the 70s. At this time we have coastal flood advisories in effect with astronomically high tides and an on shore flow, if you live along the shore please be advised. This is likely to persist through Thursday, Friday, and the weekend.
As for the weather this evening, conditions will remain cloudy with temperatures remaining in the 50s. Don't put that umbrella away just yet, as it looks like scattered showers will again impact the area, especially toward lunch time and beyond with unseasonably cool conditions. Highs only look to reach the upper 50s to around 60 statewide. A steadier, heavier rain looks to develop on Thursday evening, with conditions becoming increasingly breezy. Expect 1-2 inches of rain to fall statewide before Friday morning. Moderate to heavy rain will persist through the day on Friday with windy, raw conditions. Most will not get out of the low 50s for high temps, with some places inland not making it out of the upper 40s. As you can see, there is a windy, wet, and raw pattern developing here. Rainy, raw conditions continue through Friday night with temperatures falling back into the 40s statewide.
Over the past day or so, we have seen soaking rains from a slow moving low pressure system and cold front, especially this morning and in areas north of the shoreline. When it was not raining, clouds still persisted with intermittent mist along with muggy conditions. So not the best of days to be outside. Temperatures remained seasonable with temperatures hovering in the 70s. At this time we have coastal flood advisories in effect with astronomically high tides and an on shore flow, if you live along the shore please be advised. This is likely to persist through Thursday, Friday, and the weekend.
As for the weather this evening, conditions will remain cloudy with temperatures remaining in the 50s. Don't put that umbrella away just yet, as it looks like scattered showers will again impact the area, especially toward lunch time and beyond with unseasonably cool conditions. Highs only look to reach the upper 50s to around 60 statewide. A steadier, heavier rain looks to develop on Thursday evening, with conditions becoming increasingly breezy. Expect 1-2 inches of rain to fall statewide before Friday morning. Moderate to heavy rain will persist through the day on Friday with windy, raw conditions. Most will not get out of the low 50s for high temps, with some places inland not making it out of the upper 40s. As you can see, there is a windy, wet, and raw pattern developing here. Rainy, raw conditions continue through Friday night with temperatures falling back into the 40s statewide.
For your weekend outlook, well, Saturday again looks raw and windy with drier conditions, temperatures again will be in the 50s with scattered showers, especially early. Clouds remain for a good portion of the day with the possibility of more rain developing during the evening. For the rest of the weekend, we have a little hurricane that will dictate the conditions for Sunday through next week. The closer Joaquin gets, the higher the "heights" get pumped up, especially in the mid and lower levels of the atmosphere. What that means for us, warmer, more humid air could move in depending on the track of the storm. Which is a perfect segue to talking about the aforementioned hurricane Joaquin....
Current placement of Joaquin would be just east of the Bahamas, it is moving slowly southwest at about 7 mph with winds as of the 8 pm NHC update up to 105 mph, making it a category 2 hurricane, although the hurricane hunter aircraft has found winds approaching 120 mph. This is a rapidly intensifying storm, and I expect this to be a category 3 hurricane (120 mph) by the morning. The southwest jaunt is expected to end tomorrow with movement starting to become more west and then north and northwest. At this time modeling is all over the place with this storm, with most tracks being toward the mid Atlantic and Carolinas, with an outlier bringing the storm out to sea. I do not expect this storm to go out to sea, and will hit somewhere on the eastern seaboard from South Carolina all the way up to Connecticut. More than likely Connecticut will be spared a direct hit, but then again Sandy wasn't a direct hit either as it slammed into the southern New Jersey coast line. My current thoughts on the hurricane are that it will make a landfall between Maryland and North Carolina, with remnants tracking into New York into New England. At very least I expect a heavy rain impact in the state of Connecticut. It looks as if a monster is forming, but it remains to be seen if we will be in the teeth of the monster, or just receive a glancing blow. Keep in mind, the waters north of Virginia are much cooler than the environment the storm is strengthening in now, and it is expected to be a slow mover, a direct hit up here would not be nearly as severe as a direct hit to say, the Carolinas, or even southern New Jersey. It is definitely something we are watching very closely.
Current placement of Joaquin would be just east of the Bahamas, it is moving slowly southwest at about 7 mph with winds as of the 8 pm NHC update up to 105 mph, making it a category 2 hurricane, although the hurricane hunter aircraft has found winds approaching 120 mph. This is a rapidly intensifying storm, and I expect this to be a category 3 hurricane (120 mph) by the morning. The southwest jaunt is expected to end tomorrow with movement starting to become more west and then north and northwest. At this time modeling is all over the place with this storm, with most tracks being toward the mid Atlantic and Carolinas, with an outlier bringing the storm out to sea. I do not expect this storm to go out to sea, and will hit somewhere on the eastern seaboard from South Carolina all the way up to Connecticut. More than likely Connecticut will be spared a direct hit, but then again Sandy wasn't a direct hit either as it slammed into the southern New Jersey coast line. My current thoughts on the hurricane are that it will make a landfall between Maryland and North Carolina, with remnants tracking into New York into New England. At very least I expect a heavy rain impact in the state of Connecticut. It looks as if a monster is forming, but it remains to be seen if we will be in the teeth of the monster, or just receive a glancing blow. Keep in mind, the waters north of Virginia are much cooler than the environment the storm is strengthening in now, and it is expected to be a slow mover, a direct hit up here would not be nearly as severe as a direct hit to say, the Carolinas, or even southern New Jersey. It is definitely something we are watching very closely.
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Have a great rest of your evening! As always, thank you for your continued support of Southern Connecticut Weather. Stay tuned for all the latest concerning hurricane Joaquin.- Tim
