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Forecaster's Discussion & Extended Forecast 12/21/14

12/21/2014

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Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!

Last night, through this evening, there has been some light to moderate snow throughout the state in association with a low-pressure system off to the east. Little pulses of precipitation have been popping up, especially in the southwestern part of Connecticut. While there has been little to no accumulation, there could still be some slick spots as temperatures sit right around the freezing mark, so be careful as you head out this evening. Currently, conditions across the state are some scattered snow showers with temps right around freezing to slightly above at the shore. As we head through the rest of the evening and overnight hours, areas of light to moderate snow look to persist with temperatures not budging a whole lot. Any snow showers should end before midnight. 
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Looking ahead to the abbreviated work and school week (for some), tomorrow looks to be a day which will be slightly warmer than today with temps ranging from the mid to upper 30s inland to the low and mid 40s at the shore. Precipitation does not look to be much of a factor for the morning and evening commutes, but an area of rain in association with a low pressure system off to the west looks to move in for later Monday night through Tuesday. This first batch of rain looks to be quite minor, and more of a nuisance than anything. Temperatures for Monday night look to hover in the upper 30s to around 40 for most of the state, so frozen precipitation does not look to be a problem for this period. Heading through Tuesday rain will persist, with even more mild temperatures across the state, ranging from the low to mid 40s statewide.
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If you're looking for snow and a wintry appeal for Christmas Eve and day, you are out of luck. A series of low-pressure systems will track off to the north and west of the state, keeping all of Connecticut safely out of the snow and cold. In fact, it will feel more like spring than winter on Wednesday and Thursday, with temperatures in the 50s throughout the area and even touching 60 degrees in the southern portion of the state. Along with the warmth, rain looks to be plentiful, with Christmas eve featuring some heavy rains for those of you who need to do some last minute shopping and preparations for the holiday. Localized flooding could be a concern, especially during the day on Wednesday. Rain looks to continue through Christmas day and taper off by Thursday night. As the storm system moves away, temperatures do not look to cool down very much with highs on Friday still in the mid 40s.
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In the next 2 weeks, I do not see snow and cold being a big factor, but, models are hinting at there being a couple storms coming down the pipeline, one in the December 28th-29th range, and one right around New Years Eve. As of now, both storms do not have an abundance of cold to work with, but the right track could make things more white than wet, and as a result we are definitely keeping an eye on both potential storms. If they look to be realistic threats inside the 5-6 day window, we’ll go into more detail as always.
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Today is Sunday, and without further adieu, the 7 day forecast:

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, snow showers ending before midnight, temps 28-32, chance of precip 40%

Monday: Mostly cloudy, some rain showers possible, especially late in the afternoon, temps 38-43, chance of precip 30%

Monday night: Cloudy with showers, temps mid 30s to around 40, chance of precip 40%

Tuesday: Cloudy with showers, temps low to mid 40s, chance of precip 50%

Tuesday night: Cloudy with rain likely, temps low to mid 40s, chance of precip 60%

Wednesday: Rain, heavy at times and mild, breezy, temps low to mid 50s inland, approaching 60 at the shore, chance of precip 80%

Wednesday night: Rain likely, mild, temps low to mid 50s, chance of precip 90%

Thursday: Rain in the morning, with scattered showers toward the afternoon, temps low to mid 50s, chance of precip 70%

Thursday night: Showers early then partial clearing, temps mid 30s, chance of precip 40%

Friday: Some clouds early then becoming mostly sunny, temps low to mid 40s, chance of precip 10%

Friday night: Mostly clear, temps low 30s, chance of precip 0%

Saturday:    Mostly sunny early, then some clouds with a chance of sprinkles in the afternoon, temps mid 40s, chance of precip 10%

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy, with a chance of sprinkles, temps mid 30s, chance of precip 10%

Sunday: *Watching closely* Mostly cloudy with steady showers moving in by mid morning, temps low to mid 40s, chance of precipitation 30%

Sunday night: * Watching closely* Cloudy with rain early, possibly changing to snow, temps low to mid 30s, chance of precipitation 30%
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Have a good rest of your Sunday evening everyone! If you do need to head out tonight, please be careful as there could be some slick spots. As always, thank you for reading. Stay tuned!- Tim

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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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