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Forecasters Discussion & Extended Forecast- 12/28/14

12/28/2014

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Good afternoon from Southern Connecticut Weather!

After steady showers earlier this morning, conditions have become mostly dry across the state of Connecticut. Currently we have temperatures hovering in the low to mid 40s from northwest to southeast with mostly cloudy conditions, but some breaks from time to time. There are some showers still off to the south and west but I am thinking a majority of the state stays dry through this evening. It looks as though skies will start to clear out across the state and temperatures will drop through the 40s and into the 30s as we head through the midnight hour, with temperatures toward sunrise ranging from the low to mid 30s statewide. So, much cooler conditions than we have been experiencing over the last few days.
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For the start of the work, and the end of 2014, temperatures look to become much more frigid as a cold front moves through during the day on Monday. With high temperatures in the Monday-Friday period looking to barely make it into the 30s and lows dropping down into the teen to mid 20s statewide. In the precipitation department, things look to stay mostly dry through the beginning of 2015 up until the beginning of next weekend, but again, things stay cold. The pattern for the next week or so looks to favor suppressing storms to the south, while keeping snow away from the area, bad news for snow lovers.
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Looking to next weekend and beyond, we are currently watching a storm system that may impact the area. As of right now, this storm looks to track to the west of the state, bringing warmer air and rain with it. Much too soon to speculate as this area of disturbed weather looks to be about a week out, but as of right now it looks as if we are stuck in a solid cold and dry, warm and wet pattern. Until we get some help from the EPO, AO, NAO, etc, it looks as if this pattern is here to stay through mid month. I wouldn't totally cancel winter just yet, as many memorable winters have been back-loaded with major snowstorms, but things do not look encouraging for snow lovers in the state through the next 2 weeks.
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Today is Sunday, the day we usually release a 7 day forecast, here goes:

Tonight:  Clouds early, then clearing. Temps mid to upper 30s. Chance of precip 20%

Monday: Partly cloudy early, then sunny. Early high temperatures in the upper 30s and low 40s, temperatures will plummet throughout the day into the 30s. Chance of precip 10%

Monday night: Clear, temperatures low to mid 20s inland, mid to upper 20s at the shore, Chance of precip  0%

Tuesday: Sunny and cold, temperatures upper 20s to around 30 statewide, chance of precip 0%

Tuesday night: Clear and cold, temps low to mid 20s statewide, chance of precip 0%

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and cold, chance of flurries, temperatures mid to upper 20s statewide, chance of precip 10%

Wednesday night: Clear and cold, temperatures upper teens inland, to low and mid 20s at the shore, Chance of precip 0%

Thursday: Sunny and cold, temperatures mid to upper 20s inland, low 30s at the shore, Chance of precip 0%

Thursday night: Partly cloudy, passing flurry possible, temperatures low to mid 20s statewide, Chance of precip 10%

Friday: Mostly sunny, slightly warmer, temperatures upper 20s inland, low to mid 30s at the shore, Chance of precip 10%

Friday night: Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy late, temperatures upper 20s inland, low 30s at the shore, chance of precip 10%

Saturday: *watching closely* Clouds moving in with light snow breaking out in the afternoon, changing quickly to rain in the southern half of the state, snow to sleet to freezing rain and plain rain in the northern half of the state. Temperatures in the 30s and rising throughout the day. Chance of precip 40%

Saturday night: *watching closely* Clouds and rain, could still be some leftover freezing rain in the higher elevations, changing to plain rain by midnight. Temperatures in the upper 30s inland and 40s at the shore, still rising. Chance of precip 40%

Sunday: *watching closely* Clouds and rain, clearing in the afternoon,  temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s statewide, Chance of precip 30%

Sunday night: Clouds early, becoming clear and colder, temps 30-35 statewide, Chance of precip 10%
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Have a good rest of your Sunday everyone! Stay tuned for all the updates about this week's weather and the potential disturbance for next weekend. -Tim
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