Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
Today we had a little snow as we were scraped by a coastal storm which tracked well to our south. Areas that normally see rain this time of the year such as North and South Carolina were solidly in the snow and cold temperatures, picking a few inches of accumulation. The current air mass in place which brought cold temperatures to the state, actually worked to suppress the storm south and spare us yet another major snowfall.
Currently, we have clearing skies and temperatures ranging from the teens inland, to the 20s at the shore. As we head through the evening, skies will become completely clear promoting radiational cooling, in turn, temps will drop to the lower to middle single digits inland and lower teens at the shore. Looks to be another cold night in a period that has featured many, many cold nights, the only caveat here is that winds will be calm for the most part, so no below zero windchills.
As we head through tomorrow morning, winds do look to still be light with temperatures around the state ranging from the upper single digits inland, to the mid teens at the shore, so make sure to bundle up the kids as they head to the bus stop, or yourself as you head off to work. Temperatures do look to 'rebound' into the low to mid 20s, possibly approaching 30 at the shore during the afternoon hours. Conditions look to to be mostly dry tomorrow, outside of a chance of a few flurries or snow showers, especially after lunchtime in advance of yet another cold,front, which will put our temperatures back into freezer. Skies will be cleared out again Friday, but temperatures will plummet to near zero or below statewide. Again, winds look to be light, so wind chills will not be too severe.
Today we had a little snow as we were scraped by a coastal storm which tracked well to our south. Areas that normally see rain this time of the year such as North and South Carolina were solidly in the snow and cold temperatures, picking a few inches of accumulation. The current air mass in place which brought cold temperatures to the state, actually worked to suppress the storm south and spare us yet another major snowfall.
Currently, we have clearing skies and temperatures ranging from the teens inland, to the 20s at the shore. As we head through the evening, skies will become completely clear promoting radiational cooling, in turn, temps will drop to the lower to middle single digits inland and lower teens at the shore. Looks to be another cold night in a period that has featured many, many cold nights, the only caveat here is that winds will be calm for the most part, so no below zero windchills.
As we head through tomorrow morning, winds do look to still be light with temperatures around the state ranging from the upper single digits inland, to the mid teens at the shore, so make sure to bundle up the kids as they head to the bus stop, or yourself as you head off to work. Temperatures do look to 'rebound' into the low to mid 20s, possibly approaching 30 at the shore during the afternoon hours. Conditions look to to be mostly dry tomorrow, outside of a chance of a few flurries or snow showers, especially after lunchtime in advance of yet another cold,front, which will put our temperatures back into freezer. Skies will be cleared out again Friday, but temperatures will plummet to near zero or below statewide. Again, winds look to be light, so wind chills will not be too severe.
Looking ahead to the early part of weekend and your Saturday, temperatures will range from the low to mid 20s across the state, so par for the course as far as this extended cold pattern is concerned, but still far below what the normal high temperatures are supposed to be for this time of the year. Conditions during the day on Saturday look to be dry and sunny, so other than cold temperatures, we will not have to contend with frozen precipitation. Looking ahead to Saturday night, much of the same is to be expected, temperatures ranging from a few degrees below zero inland, to the mid single numbers at the shore with clear skies.
After Saturday night, the quiet weather looks to come to an end. Right now we are watching for a northern jet stream disturbance to impact the state from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. The European model looks to move a weak storm system through the state and bring a minor snowfall accumulation statewide. The GFS on the other hand has a slightly more amplified system impacting the state through the same time frame, at this time we are thinking snow is pretty solid bet for Sunday through Monday morning, with accumulations being on the light side. We will probably have a first call map out on this system tomorrow night or Saturday morning.
After Saturday night, the quiet weather looks to come to an end. Right now we are watching for a northern jet stream disturbance to impact the state from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. The European model looks to move a weak storm system through the state and bring a minor snowfall accumulation statewide. The GFS on the other hand has a slightly more amplified system impacting the state through the same time frame, at this time we are thinking snow is pretty solid bet for Sunday through Monday morning, with accumulations being on the light side. We will probably have a first call map out on this system tomorrow night or Saturday morning.
Things look to clear out later Monday morning, but there are signs of yet another storm system moving in for later Tuesday through the mid week. Right now it is much too soon to speculate on track or snowfall from this system as it is about 5 days away. Current modeling shows both northern and southern jet stream interaction with this storm, so a much more potent disturbance than the Sunday-Monday storm looks possible. Currently the GFS, Canadian GGEM, and Euro show low pressure systems tracking either over us or to the west of us promoting a warmer, rainier system as opposed to a snowy, cold system. In all cases, it does look as though precipitation will start as an extended period of frozen precipitation which will gradually change to rain from south to north as warm air over takes the region from the strengthening low pressure system tracking through the Great Lakes region. Although, I would not rule out the chance of a change over back to snow on the backside of the storm as the winds flip back around to the northwest. Again, this system is 5 to 7 days out, so much too early to speculate on track, precipitation type, accumulations and the like. Just know the signal is there for a potent storm system to effect the state and region.
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In the longer term, Arctic intrusions look to be less, let's say, potent. Seasonal changes will start to gradually take effect as pattern changes will start to trend in a more spring-like direction. I'm not saying that it won't be cold, because I do still see temperatures through the middle of March still being below average, but it does look as though there is a light at the end of the Arctic temperature tunnel. It does look as though it will be a while before we start seeing any major moderation of temperatures to springtime levels though. It solidly looks as though there won't be a thaw through the vernal equinox, or the official first day of spring on March 20th. As far as the pattern goes with storms, it looks as if we will start trending away from major coastal storms and more into smaller nickel and dime events.
Have a good rest of your night everyone and stay warm! More on the Sunday and mid-week disturbances tomorrow. Stay tuned.- Tim
