Good afternoon from SCW!
Chilly temps are quickly moving towards the forecast area as a strong area of high pressure crosses to our north over Canada. This high will serve to shunt an approaching storm system to our south, limiting potential snowfall this weekend to some flurries or snow showers, if that, with nothing being another likely outcome. For the rest of the forecast period, we’ll see alternating periods of above and below normal temps, but no real storms are in sight.
Friday
Clear and cold as high pressure moves over the area. Should see highs in the lower 20s interior and upper 20s on the coastline, but partly to mostly sunny skies should make it feel a bit warmer.
Saturday-Sunday
A low pressure system approaches from the southwest along a track that is fairly classic for some of our big snowmakers. Unfortunately for those who like snow, there is a very strong Canadian high in place that will push the system out under us, resulting in the best snows remaining well to our south. That said, we could see some snow showers or flurries from the northern flank of the system, most likely in the southern areas of the state, but any snow should be light and accumulations should be minimal. Skies will be mostly cloudy and temperatures will be ~5 degrees below normal, resulting in highs in the upper 20s on Saturday and in the upper 20s to lower 30s on Sunday.
Here’s a look at that system - you can see the high pressure diving south and squashing the system as a result. Earlier model runs kept that high weaker and further north, allowing the storm to come into our area, but the model consensus is now firmly for the southerly solution.
Chilly temps are quickly moving towards the forecast area as a strong area of high pressure crosses to our north over Canada. This high will serve to shunt an approaching storm system to our south, limiting potential snowfall this weekend to some flurries or snow showers, if that, with nothing being another likely outcome. For the rest of the forecast period, we’ll see alternating periods of above and below normal temps, but no real storms are in sight.
Friday
Clear and cold as high pressure moves over the area. Should see highs in the lower 20s interior and upper 20s on the coastline, but partly to mostly sunny skies should make it feel a bit warmer.
Saturday-Sunday
A low pressure system approaches from the southwest along a track that is fairly classic for some of our big snowmakers. Unfortunately for those who like snow, there is a very strong Canadian high in place that will push the system out under us, resulting in the best snows remaining well to our south. That said, we could see some snow showers or flurries from the northern flank of the system, most likely in the southern areas of the state, but any snow should be light and accumulations should be minimal. Skies will be mostly cloudy and temperatures will be ~5 degrees below normal, resulting in highs in the upper 20s on Saturday and in the upper 20s to lower 30s on Sunday.
Here’s a look at that system - you can see the high pressure diving south and squashing the system as a result. Earlier model runs kept that high weaker and further north, allowing the storm to come into our area, but the model consensus is now firmly for the southerly solution.
Monday-Thursday
Generally quiet weather continues through most of next week. Should see temperatures warm to normal to slightly above normal (maybe noticeably above normal for a day if the Euro is correct) for the start of the week, but then drop back below normal by Wednesday(GFS) or Thursday(Euro) depending on the timing of a front that brings another longwave trough and some more cold air to the state. While models currently keep any precipitation associated with that front to our north, it’s not inconceivable that we see some snow develop along the front in further solutions. That said, will carry a dry forecast for now, with slightly above normal temps Monday-Tuesday, near normal temps Wednesday, and below normal temps on Thursday. Mostly sunny skies throughout the period except for the passage of the cold front.
The Dailies
Friday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the lower to upper 20s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with highs in the upper 20s.
Sunday: A slight chance of snow showers or flurries, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Chance of precipitation is 15%.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 30s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 30s.
Wednesday: Partly sunny, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Thursday: Partly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 30s.
Have a great weekend and thanks for reading SCW!
-SA
Generally quiet weather continues through most of next week. Should see temperatures warm to normal to slightly above normal (maybe noticeably above normal for a day if the Euro is correct) for the start of the week, but then drop back below normal by Wednesday(GFS) or Thursday(Euro) depending on the timing of a front that brings another longwave trough and some more cold air to the state. While models currently keep any precipitation associated with that front to our north, it’s not inconceivable that we see some snow develop along the front in further solutions. That said, will carry a dry forecast for now, with slightly above normal temps Monday-Tuesday, near normal temps Wednesday, and below normal temps on Thursday. Mostly sunny skies throughout the period except for the passage of the cold front.
The Dailies
Friday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the lower to upper 20s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with highs in the upper 20s.
Sunday: A slight chance of snow showers or flurries, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Chance of precipitation is 15%.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 30s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 30s.
Wednesday: Partly sunny, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Thursday: Partly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 30s.
Have a great weekend and thanks for reading SCW!
-SA
