Good evening to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!
Yesterday and today were our first real taste of mid winter cold, with average temps the last few days being below average even in our coldest time of the year, mid January! This morning marked a record low temp at Bridgeport(22 degrees), and many other area stations had record lows as well.
More of the same looks to continue for the rest of the week, with highs tomorrow through Saturday being mainly in the 30s, although tomorrow could sneak into the lower 40s perhaps in southern areas. Sunny skies expected throughout the period aside from a low chance(say 15-20%) of flurries/a brief snow shower early tomorrow morning from a passing wave overhead. Best shot at some flakes would be in eastern sections. Perhaps a dusting is possible if some heavier snow showers do form, but the most likely scenario is just nothing to some flurries. In our last update, we mentioned a possible snowstorm that the GGEM had for the period, but model consensus is strong on that system remaining well away from our area. Here’s images of the expected highs tomorrow through Saturday from the GFS model. Keep in mind that these are for GMT, so you have to subtract 5 hours (so for example 0z Friday GMT is 7 PM Thursday EST.)
Yesterday and today were our first real taste of mid winter cold, with average temps the last few days being below average even in our coldest time of the year, mid January! This morning marked a record low temp at Bridgeport(22 degrees), and many other area stations had record lows as well.
More of the same looks to continue for the rest of the week, with highs tomorrow through Saturday being mainly in the 30s, although tomorrow could sneak into the lower 40s perhaps in southern areas. Sunny skies expected throughout the period aside from a low chance(say 15-20%) of flurries/a brief snow shower early tomorrow morning from a passing wave overhead. Best shot at some flakes would be in eastern sections. Perhaps a dusting is possible if some heavier snow showers do form, but the most likely scenario is just nothing to some flurries. In our last update, we mentioned a possible snowstorm that the GGEM had for the period, but model consensus is strong on that system remaining well away from our area. Here’s images of the expected highs tomorrow through Saturday from the GFS model. Keep in mind that these are for GMT, so you have to subtract 5 hours (so for example 0z Friday GMT is 7 PM Thursday EST.)
The second half of the forecast gets warmer and wetter as a system cuts to our west, bringing us into the warm sector and also bringing in precipitation. Sunday, Monday and Tuesday all look to be relatively warm, with Monday and Tuesday being well above normal with highs in the low to mid 60s Monday and upper 50s to lower 60s Tuesday. Sunday will be closer to normal with highs in the upper 40s. Rain looks to move in Sunday night, and last through most of Monday. It will be more showery in nature, but coverage will be fairly extensive, and as a result, a nice round of rain for all should be expected. Showers diminish overnight Monday, and while some lingering showers may be around for Tuesday, on the whole, the day looks much drier. No snow is expected with this system. Here’s a shot of the system at 7 AM Monday from the GGEM model.
The guidance then differs for the Thanksgiving holiday period as so far as temps go, with some of the models keeping us above normal through the rest of the week and some cooling us down. I’m leaning towards the cooler side of guidance, especially towards the Thursday-Friday time period, but because it’s outside the forecast period, won’t give any sort of numbers for right now.
We’re also keeping an eye on a possible event for Black Friday. Models are all over the map and have shown anything from a snowstorm to a rainstorm to a sunny day in recent runs, so not going to get into any more details except highlight the potential for an event in the period. Given that it’s 9 days out though, it’s still perfectly possible that it’ll be a sunny day, so don’t go changing your plans just yet J
Have a great rest of your week and thanks for reading Southern Connecticut Weather!
-SA
We’re also keeping an eye on a possible event for Black Friday. Models are all over the map and have shown anything from a snowstorm to a rainstorm to a sunny day in recent runs, so not going to get into any more details except highlight the potential for an event in the period. Given that it’s 9 days out though, it’s still perfectly possible that it’ll be a sunny day, so don’t go changing your plans just yet J
Have a great rest of your week and thanks for reading Southern Connecticut Weather!
-SA
