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Forecasters Discussion for 11/24/15

11/24/2015

 
Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!

Today was a sunny, but blustery day, highs barely reached the 40s statewide, with some elevated interior locations not making it above the upper 30s. Through this evening, skies stay clear to mostly clear, allowing for radiational cooling, dropping temperatures inland into mid 20s, with low 30s being observed as you head closer to the shore.
 
​For tomorrow, conditions will be similar to today, if not slightly ‘warmer’.  High temperatures will range from the low 40s inland, to the mid 40s in southern Connecticut. It looks to be another dry, sunny day, with precipitation free conditions expected to last through Wednesday evening as you travel to be with family for the holiday, or just hanging around the area for festivities.
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​If you aren’t a fan of the early season chilly conditions, Thursday and Friday are the days for you. As winds turn to more of a southerly direction, later Wednesday night, temperatures will moderate nicely for the Thursday and Friday. Both days look to rise through the 50s, with possibility of highs in the 60s by Friday. So it looks as though a light jacket may be all you need as you play your Thanksgiving backyard football games or that stroll to work off some of that food you may have gorged on. Temperatures look even warmer on Friday as you head out for those black Friday sales, or to the gym to work off the pumpkin pie. Both days look relatively dry, outside of a chance for a spot shower on Friday.
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​Don’t get used to the warm conditions for too long, starting Saturday, a relatively dry frontal passage will again, turn those winds around, from out of the south and southwest, to more north and northwesterly allowing for cool air to converge on the region. Highs on Saturday look to be achieved early in the morning, 45 to 50 degrees statewide, but those temps look to gradually fall throughout the morning and afternoon, down through the 40s and eventually into the 30s, especially in northern Connecticut. As I mentioned previously, the frontal passage does look to come through relatively dry, but there is a chance for some sprinkles and showers come later Saturday morning. For the most part Saturday does look to be dry, and mostly cloudy. Saturday night, temperatures drop down through the 30s, and by Sunday morning we are looking at temps in the low to mid 20s inland with upper 20s at the shore. 
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​For the second half of the weekend, Sunday looks to be a cool, blustery day with temperatures statewide ranging from the mid 30s inland, to low 40s at the shore. Conditions look to be mostly sunny and dry through the evening with temperatures dropping off into the mid 20s inland to around 30 at the shore. Then we set our sights off to our west and southwest as our next potential weather maker bears down on the area. Models right now show an area of low pressure impacting Connecticut’s weather by early next week, right now, it does look as if it will be more wet than white, but could start of as some frozen precipitation, especially in the higher elevations, later Sunday night and early Monday morning. Right now it is much too soon to speculate on track and intensity, as much can change, but we will have much more on this potential storm system as we get closer to the weekend.
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Here’s a look at the week ahead:

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, highs 40-45 during the day, mostly clear at night, lows 30-35 Chance of precip: 0%

Thursday (Thanksgiving): Partly cloudy, highs 50-55, lows 35-40, Chance of precip: 10%

Friday: Partly cloudy early, becoming mostly cloudy late, highs 55-60+, chance of precip: 20%

Saturday: Chance of showers otherwise mostly cloudy with early high temperatures ranging from 45-50, temperatures gradually falling throughout the day into the low 40s. Mostly cloudy conditions early in the evening becoming partly cloudy late, lows 30-35 falling into the 20s inland by Sunday morning, chance of precip 30%

Sunday: Clear and cold, highs mid 30s inland, low 40s at the shore. Clouds increase late Sunday night, lows mid to upper 20s statewide, chance for frozen precip toward dawn. Chance of precip 20%

Monday (11/30): *watching the models* Cloudy with frozen precipitation changing to plain rain from south to north. High temperatures 40-45 statewide. Lows in the low to mid 30s

Tuesday (12/1): *watching models* Cloudy, with lingering showers. High temperatures 45-50, lows steady in the 40s 

As always, thank you for reading, have a great night! Stay tuned.- Tim

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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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