Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
What a day of weather it was. After the winter weather of yesterday and early this morning cleared out, bringing a general 2-3 inches to the shore line, and 3-6 inches to the rest of the state, things got windy, and I mean really windy. There was even a 72 mph wind gust recorded just over the border at Westchester Airport (HPN), with various reports of wind gusts between 40 and 60 mph, with the brunt of the damage being done in Fairfield county, with widespread power outages across the state. Combine the gusty winds with blowing snow and chilly temperatures, and it was not a pleasant day to be outside. About the only silver lining of today was the clouds breaking and the sun coming out in most places. Temperatures were in the low to mid 30s for the most part statewide. Currently, we have temperatures across the state ranging from the mid and upper 20s at the shore to the low and mid 20s inland. Temps will be allowed to radiate much lower under clear skies with a stout snowpack. I'm expecting low temperatures to be in the mid teens inland, to the upper teens and low 20s at the shore. These temperatures are expected to persist through the early morning hours, so make sure to bundle up as you head out, and make sure the kids are bundled up as they head to the bus stop. Fortunately winds will slack off greatly by this time period.
What a day of weather it was. After the winter weather of yesterday and early this morning cleared out, bringing a general 2-3 inches to the shore line, and 3-6 inches to the rest of the state, things got windy, and I mean really windy. There was even a 72 mph wind gust recorded just over the border at Westchester Airport (HPN), with various reports of wind gusts between 40 and 60 mph, with the brunt of the damage being done in Fairfield county, with widespread power outages across the state. Combine the gusty winds with blowing snow and chilly temperatures, and it was not a pleasant day to be outside. About the only silver lining of today was the clouds breaking and the sun coming out in most places. Temperatures were in the low to mid 30s for the most part statewide. Currently, we have temperatures across the state ranging from the mid and upper 20s at the shore to the low and mid 20s inland. Temps will be allowed to radiate much lower under clear skies with a stout snowpack. I'm expecting low temperatures to be in the mid teens inland, to the upper teens and low 20s at the shore. These temperatures are expected to persist through the early morning hours, so make sure to bundle up as you head out, and make sure the kids are bundled up as they head to the bus stop. Fortunately winds will slack off greatly by this time period.
For your Tuesday, I am expecting a tranquil, sunny day with temperatures slightly below average, with highs ranging from the low and mid 30s inland to the mid and upper 30s at the shore. Heading out Tuesday morning, be on the lookout for patches of black ice, as melted snow from the night before will refreeze on Monday night leaving slick spots on the secondary roads. Heading through Tuesday, skies remain mostly clear, but temperatures don't look to be as cold as Monday night with upper 20s at the shore to low and mid 20s inland. You will notice that temperatures really don't drop very much from the highs on Tuesday, and that is because of a system moving in from the south raising "heights" and temperatures, which is the perfect segue in discussing the potential mid to late week event.
Wednesday, again looks to start off with fair weather, but some clouds look to filter in as we head through the morning. The setup we have currently has a northern system, or shortwave, moving in from Canada, with a southern system moving in from the southwest. Now if timing were perfect, these two systems would combine with each other off the mid-Atlantic coast with the north system transferring its energy to the southern system. What that would mean for us? One heck of a system, most likely yet another significant snow maker to the state. In this case, it looks like the pattern will be a little too progressive with the northern shortwave moving into the area too quick, delaying the phase until the southern shortwave was too far east to give the state any more than a glancing blow. Most models show this, with the GGEM (Canadian model) showing the phase furthest west of the models. We are watching this one very closely, but at this time, I think snow lovers will disappointed. Currently it looks like the state will get off with some snow showers at the most, later on Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Temperatures for Wednesday look to be 32-35 degrees for highs with temps dipping back into the 20s at night, and this is highly dependent on whether we get actually get a storm on Wednesday night into Thursday. What I do see is that regardless of whether the storm materializes, temperatures will be again be cold from Thursday through Saturday.
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For the Thursday through Saturday period, Thursday is quite dependant if there is a storm or not, but I'm leaning toward cloudy early with clearing later in the day and dropping temperatures. Highs on Thursday look to be in the mid to upper 30s and falling throughout the day. By Thursday night, under clear skies, temperatures will drop back through the 20s at the shore and into the teens inland, so pretty cold night shaping up. Skies look to remain clear for Friday and Saturday with high temperatures in the 30s statewide, dropping back into the low to mid teens at night with 20s at the shore. If you're looking for a 'warm up' look no further than Sunday. Sunday looks to start off fair with chilly temperatures statewide, but look to rebound into the upper 30s and 40s statewide, for the start of an extended mild period. Looking for the potential of some rain showers on Sunday afternoon, but otherwise dry.
At a glance, winter looks to be put on hold for a while after this weekend. Most teleconnections like the PNA, NAO, AO and EPA do not look favorable for snow for at least the next 2 weeks. I'm watching for a mega ridge to build over most of the country, promoting mild temperatures, and storm tracks well into the Great Lakes through the end of the month. This is not to say there will be periodical 1 to 2 day cool downs through this period, but it looks as though warmth will rule the day. I wouldn't even rule out a few days in this period getting into the 60s, especially when the area is being affected by a storm tracking through the Great Lakes. Look for our indepth 2 week forecast sometime this week.
Have a great rest of your night! As always, thank you for reading this discussion and continuing to make Southern Connecticut Weather your trusted source for all things Connecticut weather.- TW
