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Forecasters Discussion for 3/22/2015- Extended Forecast

3/22/2015

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Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!

After a day where we went from snow, to sun, 40 degree temperatures and melting, we are back into colder weather. It seems as though we just can't shake it. Highs across the state ranged from the mid to upper 30s, but a stiff wind made it feel colder. The only upside  was that it was by and large a mostly sunny day with dry conditions. Currently across the state we have clear skies and temperatures in the teens and low 20s inland, to mid 20s at the shore. Clear skies will persist through the early morning hours and temperatures will drop back into the upper single digits and low teens inland, with lows at the shore falling back into the lower 20s.
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For Monday, and the beginning of the work week, cool, below average temperatures will stick around, with highs inland making it only to the mid 30s inland while temps at the shore barely touch 40. Conditions from tomorrow morning through afternoon look to be fair and dry, but also breezy with winds between 10 and 20 mph. Temps at night look to dip back into the low to mid teens inland, while upper teens will be observed at shore. So it appears as though winter doesn't want to give up even though the calender says it's technically spring.

Look toward Tuesday and the middle of the week. Temps look to rebound slightly starting with Tuesday afternoon where highs finally look to get back into the 40s statewide with partly cloudy skies. It looks as though temperatures may stay out of the teens for Tuesday night, which will be welcomed with open arms by those who are tired of the cold temperatures, lows look to range between the low to mid 20s.
With the moderating temperatures, comes the chance of rain unfortunately. Wednesday starts out dry with highs ranging between the low and mid 40s. Clouds and showers will move in later on Wednesday night. The only upside to this is that low temperatures will stay above freezing across the state, lows will be in the upper 30s. Thursday looks to be the warmest day of the week, but also the rainiest. Showers in the morning will become a steadier rain in the afternoon, high temperatures look to reach the low to mid 50s statewide. Rain continues through Thursday night, in fact we could still see some rain on Friday morning. Lows on Thursday look to be in the upper 30s, while highs on Friday will approach 50.
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As has been the theme over the last few weeks, the moderating temperature trend does not last. After some morning rain showers on Friday, there will be some afternoon clearing. Along with the clearing there will a shift in the wind to northwest and cooler air will again be ushered in for later Friday night and the weekend. Temperatures for Friday night will be back into the 20s statewide with clear skies. We had been watching for a storm for next weekend, but since it looks it has disappeared from the models. This period still does hold my interest, so we will continue to monitor the situation. As for any lights at the end of this tunnel to any semblance of spring, I really do not see any. It looks as if the temperature roller coasters will continue through the middle of April. In fact,  I wouldn't rule out the chance for another snowstorm.
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Now for the "cliffnotes" version of the extended forecast:

Monday: Sunny and breezy during the day, temperatures 35-40 for highs, Clear conditions at night with lows ranging from the low teens inland to the upper teens at the shore.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, highs upper 30s to low 40s statewide, Partly cloudy at night, lows 20-25
Wednesday: Fair conditions early, clouds moving in late, highs 40-45, showers moving in at night, lows 35-40
Thursday: Scattered showers becoming steady rain at night, highs 50-55, lows 35-40
Friday: Rain early, clearing late with rapidly falling temperatures, highs 45-50, lows 25-30.

Have a good rest of your evening and start to your work week!- Tim
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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