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Forecasters Discussion for 3/29/18

3/29/2018

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​Good evening to you from SCW!
 
First of all, an apology for the lack of updates this week; GP is in bed with the flu and DB is taking care of sick family so we’ve dropped the ball on coverage. Luckily it was a quiet week, and the upcoming forecast looks relatively uneventful as well, so this should be a pretty quick update.
 
Friday
 
Warm and mostly cloudy tomorrow as a cold front crosses the state throughout the day, bringing some scattered showers for the morning hours. Could see some sunshine developing towards the end of the day, but otherwise expect mostly cloudy skies to hold. Highs generally in the mid to upper 50s
 
Saturday-Monday
 
Few more scattered showers possible late Friday or early Saturday, otherwise, looks dry for the weekend aside from some more widely scattered showers overnight Saturday from a weak system passing to our north. It should be a fantastic spring weekend with temperatures generally in the low to mid 50s and nearly full sunshine both days, and if you want to make it a long weekend Monday looks almost as good, with highs in the upper 40s and full sunshine once again.

Here are highs from the GFS for Saturday/Sunday/Monday – with sunshine and spring wavelengths in place I’d take the over on all of those maps.
​Tuesday-Wednesday
 
Another warm system on tap for this time frame with most models two rounds of relatively light precipitation. The first round comes on Tuesday in the form of overrunning rain while the low is still in the Midwest, while the second comes on Wednesday as the parent low finally passes to our north. While colder air moves in behind the system, I don’t think it will be in time for us to see any snow out of this storm, although it wouldn’t shock me to see a brief flurry to end it in the northwest hills.  Although I expect rain on both Tuesday and Wednesday, I don’t think either day will be a total washout, so expect mostly cloudy skies otherwise with highs in the 40s on Tuesday and then well into the 50s on Wednesday as we warm-sector ahead of the cold front.
 
Here’s both parts of the storm as shown on the GFS.
Picture
Thursday
 
Cool and quiet weather behind the storm with high pressure in control. Temps in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
 
The Dailies
 
Friday: Showers likely, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 50s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 50s.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Tuesday: A chance of rain, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday: A chance of rain, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
 
Have a great weekend and thank you for reading SCW!
-SA
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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