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Forecasters Discussion for 3/29/2015- Extended Forecast

3/29/2015

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Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!

So we are 9 days into spring, the conditions over the last few days make it seem like we are 9 days into winter. Yesterday and last night, a general coating to 2 inches of snow fell across the state. Behind the snow, a reinforcing shot of cold air was brought down into the state. High temperatures today fell about 10-15 degrees below normal, had the March sun angle not been a factor, it could have been much colder.

Currently across the state we have mostly clear, but cool conditions, with temperatures ranging from the middle 30s inland, to the lower 40s at the shore. As we head through the evening, clouds will begin to filter in from the west preceding our next weather maker for tomorrow, temperatures will drop into the mid 20s statewide before rising through the 30s before sunrise tomorrow.
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I had previously mentioned that there would be a disturbance that will effect the state tomorrow. I do not expect this this to be anything major, although it may start as a little snow statewide as there will still be some cold air in place, but I do expect this snow to change to rain by Monday afternoon as temperatures will rise through the mid 40s.  As far as accumulations go, I do not see much of either snow or rain, precipitation will be more of a nuisance than anything, with cloudy conditions. In fact, most days this work week look to have some kind of precipitation falling at some point. Clouds will clear out later Monday afternoon and evening with temperatures dropping into the low 30s at the shore and mid to upper 20s inland.

Tuesday looks to be the pick of the week as far as the weather goes. Sunny conditions should be the rule statewide with temperatures rising through the 40s, and even touching 50 at the shore. Tuesday night looks like more of the same as far as precipitation goes with temperatures in the low to mid 30s statewide. As mentioned previously, pretty much every day this week will feature some sort of precipitation. Well, later Tuesday night, clouds and precipitation move back in. At this point this looks to be another nuisance system bringing rain and snow showers, for very late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Right now this doesn't look like a big deal, but it could create some slick spots, especially inland on Wednesday morning. The low pressure system moves out and fair conditions move in for Wednesday afternoon, with temperatures rebounding back into the upper 40s and 50s. Even temperatures on Wednesday night do not look to be too unpleasant ranging from the low to mid 30s statewide under partly cloudy skies. 
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Starting after the Wednesday morning disturbance, we will go into a short moderation pattern for the end of the week. Thursday looks to be one of the warmer days of the week with temperatures perhaps making it into the mid and upper 50s. The day does look to start off sunny, but don't look now, MORE clouds and precipitation look to move into the state for Thursday night. Right now, this looks to be a rain event with temperatures sitting in the 40s. Again, this will be a short lived system as rain showers will be over by the middle of the morning on Friday making way for sunshine, and relative warmth with temperatures approaching 60 on Friday afternoon. Fair conditions look to continue through the middle of Friday evening, with yet more clouds moving in, in advance of a system that I'm really keeping my eye on. 

While it looks as though this system will start as rain, and continue through Saturday, I am watching for maybe some snow to develop on Saturday afternoon as a cold front sweeps through and some possible regeneration of precipitation occurs.  Now, that system is 6 days out, and much can change, but it does look to be more significant than the quick hitter disturbances we will see during this work week. We will be keeping an eye on it.
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While Saturday will start off relatively "mild", with temperatures in the the mid 40s. Temperatures do look to drop through the afternoon and evening into the 30s. This cool down looks to be one of the last of the season and will last through Monday (4/6) before temperatures begin to moderate back to seasonable levels for the week of 4/6. In fact, temperatures look to stay steadily in the 50s and 60s for highs after 4/6. It looks as though we are seeing the light at the end of the proverbial tunnel, and with no heat in sight, it looks as though we are heading into one of the nicest part of the year, true spring.

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Now for your simplified extended work week forecast:

Monday: Rain and snow early, clearing in the afternoon, temperatures rising into the mid 40s statewide, with lows in the mid 20s inland and low 30s at the shore

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, temps 45-50 during the day, mostly clear early evening then increasing clouds after midnight, temperatures in the low to mid 30s statewide.

Wednesday: Early rain and snow showers, clearing during the mid morning with temperatures rising into the mid to upper 40s approaching 50 at the shore. Clear conditions at night with lows in the mid to upper 30s statewide.

Thursday: Sunny to start the day with clouds moving in later in the afternoon and showers developing by evening. Highs 50-55, lows 40-45.

Friday: Early rain then mid morning clearing and afternoon sun, highs approaching 60. Partly cloudy skies for the early evening then clouds and rain showers moving in by midnight, lows in the low to mid 40s.

Have a good rest of your night, and start to your work week! As always, thank you for following and continuing to support SCW!- Tim
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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