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Forecasters Discussion for 5/21/2017

5/21/2017

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Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!

​   Hope you all got outside to enjoy the beautiful weather bestowed on to Connecticut by the weather gods.  After a taste of summer late last week, where many places experienced a true heatwave (3 days in a row of 90 degree temps), a cold front came through and displaced the unseasonably warm airmass leaving pure "chamber of commerce" conditions in its wake. Saturday took a little while to break the clouds and murkiness, to, overall, recover nicely with sunshine and seasonable conditions in the afternoon.  Sunday, though, was the true winner, with fair and seasonably warm conditions throughout the day. Tonight, temps drop back into the upper 40s and 50s while staying mostly clear early, clouds will be on the increase late in advance of, yet again, more showery, cool weather.
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​   Your Monday starts off dry, but clouds should be prevalent by rush hour with showers moving in toward mid morning, around 10 am.  Showers will be scattered throughout the state, limiting the sunshine, and therefore keep temperatures down. I do not expect the thermometer to move much higher than the upper 50s and lower 60s statewide. Although, in some areas there could be a brief peek of sun, those would be the areas that have a shot at the mid 60s. Rain looks to move away from the area Monday evening, but there is still a chance for a stray shower on Tuesday morning. High temperatures on Tuesday, do look to rebound slightly, back into the mid and upper 60s, under partly cloudy skies, with nighttime temps falling back into the upper 40s and 50s.
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​   Looking ahead to the middle and end of the work week, we will have a nice 1 day temperature spike on Wednesday, with highs jumping well into the 70s to around 80 and mostly clear skies. Enjoy this day though, as Thursday through early Saturday do not look to be nice. Wednesday looks to be so warm due to the fact that we will be on the warm side of a low pressure system which looks to influence our weather late next week. Southwest winds while being on the fair weather, east side of a low pressure system tracking in from the midwest will promote warming, these ingredients will make for a nice and warm spring day. Clouds, again, will move in later on Wednesday night in advance of this system, and back into the gloomy, rainy, and cool we go....
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   ​It looks as though showers, and possibly thunderstorms, move in yet again Thursday morning, and if it isn't raining, conditions will still be cloudy and cool on northeast winds promoting these conditions. High temperatures on Thursday are not expected to budge much above the mid to upper 50s, possibly touching the low 60s in some areas. I'd like to tell you this ends Thursday night, but this looks to be a pesky low pressure area that will "hangout" in New England for the day on Friday as well. More gloomy,  showery, cool conditions are expected. High temps again will be in the mid to upper 50s. It does look as though the bulk of the rain will move out by Saturday morning setting the stage for at least one decent weekend day, temps look to rebound back into the 70s with mostly sunny skies. Yet again, though, it looks like rain will not be too far from our doorsteps. More showers look to move in for the day on Sunday, with temps in the mid 60s. Now I know many of you would like to know the weather for Memorial Day, and whether your parade or picnic will be a washout or success, my early call would be mid 60s with a chance of showers but overall not a rainout, again, this is 8 days away so much can change.
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​Looking even further ahead, Memorial Day and beyond,  I'd like to tell you that we will have an extended period of tranquil, sunny weather (more than 1 or 2 days), but I really can't. It looks as though we will be stuck in a pattern of cutoff lows, bringing cool and gloomy conditions, with a warm and sunny day or 2 sprinkled in between. It's a pattern more akin to early April than late May/early June. This pattern actually looks to persist for the better part of the next 2 weeks, followed by a nice warm-up most likely. Basically going from April to mid July, in the snap of a finger.
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Now, the extended forecast:

Tonight:  Mostly clear skies with clouds moving in late, temps upper 40s to low 50s

Monday: Mostly cloudy skies early becoming cloudy, showers likely throughout the day, temps upper 50s to around 60. Showers early, tapering off with partial clearing late, temps upper 40s to low 50s

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy early becoming mostly sunny, high temps 65-70. Partly cloudy at night with temps in the low 50s

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and warm, temps mid 70s to low 80s, chance of a storm late.  Increasing clouds at night, with a chance of showers toward morning, temps low to mid 50s.

Thursday: Cloudy skies and showers, temps mid 50s to low 60s. Showery conditions persist through the evening with low temps in the upper 40s and low 50s.

Friday: Clouds and showers, temps mid 50s to around 60.  Showers gradually move out of the area during the evening,  temps at night in the upper 40s and low 50s.

Saturday: Lingering clouds early, becoming pleasant and warm, highs in the 70s. Fair conditions expected through the evening with clouds moving in late, temps 50-55

Sunday: Clouds and showers, highs 60-65, lows 50-55

*Memorial Day: Clouds and sun, scattered showers, highs mid 60s
 
As always, thank you for reading and continuing to make Southern Connecticut Weather your trusted source for all things Connecticut weather. Have a great evening and start to the work week!- TW
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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