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Forecasters Discussion for 6/23/2019

6/23/2019

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​Good evening from SCW.
 
What a weekend! With warm yet comfortable temps and plenty of sunshine, it was one of those beautiful summer weekends that we all wish for. I hope you got to enjoy some of the nice weather, but the good news is that if you didn’t, there’s more coming down the line. While we’ll see a few periods of showers over the course of the week, that will interrupt long periods of fair weather, sunshine, and comfortable temps. Enjoy it, summer is here!
 
Monday
 
We’ll keep this one simple; A repeat of the weekend; sunny with warm temps around 80. Can’t ask for much better.
 
Tuesday
 
A warm front approaches from the west Tuesday morning and brings some periods of showers; generally looking for light QPF amounts, but can’t rule out a few periods of heavier rain thrown in along the core of the line. Temps will depend on the timing of the front; should it move a bit faster we’ll see highs hold in the lower 70s, but a slightly later arrival will allow for some warming ahead of the line and temps could get close to 80 in western areas with 70s elsewhere. Convection is a possibility, although I don’t think we’ll see any severe activity.

​Here's a look at the evolution of the front on the NAM.
Picture
Wednesday-Friday
 
Generally stable and comfortable weather for the back half of the week, although there will be enough action in the flow that the chance for some widely scattered showers will exist. As of now it looks like Thursday is the best chance for some more widespread shower activity, but amounts should remain light and I wouldn’t go changing plans right now. Should see highs in the low 80s Wednesday-Thursday and a few degrees cooler on Friday.  
 
Saturday-Sunday
 
More organized precip arrives for the weekend as a low pressure system moves south from Canada across New England. Still too early to be super specific but it looks like Saturday has the better chance for some rain, that said I think it will likely not be a total washout as the setup is more inclined for pop-up showers than steady rain. The other story for the weekend will be cooler temps as a cold front moves across the area, expect highs back in the mid 70s by Sunday.
 
The Dailies
 
Monday: Sunny, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Tuesday: Showers likely, otherwise, mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
​
Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
 
Thursday: A chance of showers, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
 
Friday: A slight chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
 
Saturday: A chance of showers, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
 
Sunday: A chance of showers, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
 
Have a great week and thank you for reading SCW!
-SA
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