Southern Connecticut Weather
  • Home
  • Forecaster Discussion
  • SCW Social Media Hub
  • SCW Facebook
  • About Us/Contact Us

Forecasters Discussion for 6/5/2016

6/5/2016

Comments

 
​Good evening to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!
 
A much needed(although perhaps ill-timed) wet end to the weekend is clearing out, and behind it will be a generally quiet week. Warmer weather will start off the week as high pressure builds in behind the system, with highs pushing up into the mid 80s tomorrow despite a weak cold front moving through the area tonight. The warmth is short lived, however, as a second, stronger cold front pushes across the area on Tuesday afternoon, carrying with it the ingredients for some possible severe thunderstorms across the region. Cold pooling aloft, combined with elevated wind shear, should be enough to produce some hail and/or strong winds to accompany any storms that do develop, however, drier air advecting into the area will limit instablility and make it more difficult for those storms to set off. As such, not expecting widespread thunderstorms as of right now, but do think that there is an elevated chance of severe weather with any storms that do develop.

Here's the simulated radar from the 4km NAM for Tuesday afternoon. Notice that the few storms that are in the area are quite strong!
Picture
The story for the rest of the week then becomes the unseasonably cool weather that is expected as the strong cold front anchors above us and we are under an upper level trough. Temps will be stuck in the 60s on Thursday, and will likely only make it into the lower 70s for Wednesday and Friday through the weekend. Comfortable, but well below normal for June.
 
As far as precipitation chances go, a strong shortwave will move into the area for Wednesday, setting off another round of afternoon thunderstorms and showers. For the weekend, general instability is currently modeled to set up to our south, which would reduce the chance of any severe thunderstorms in the area. However, several impressive shortwaves are modeled to come through the flow, meaning that we will likely not escape all shower activity. At this lead time, way too early to be speculating specifics with the timing and location of any scattered showers that do pop up, and so will just paint in a low chance of showers across the weekend for now. The good news is that as of now, the weekend definitely does not look like a washout!
 
Here are the dailies:
 
Monday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 80s.
Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the low 80s. Some of the storms could be severe. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the low 70s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 60s.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the low 70s.
Saturday: A chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the low 70s. Chance of precipitation is 25%
Sunday: A chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the low 70s. Chance of precipitation is 25%
 
Have a great start to your week and thank you for reading SCW!
-SA
Comments

    Archives

    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014

    Categories

    All
    Tropical Weather
    Winter Forecast

    Authors

    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

Picture
Copyright Southern Connecticut Weather 2018, all rights reserved. 
For website related inquiries, email us at support@southernconnecticutweather.com

Privacy Policy/Terms of Service