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Forecasters Discussion for 9/24/2015

9/24/2015

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Good evening to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!

We continue to experience a stretch of picture perfect late summer weather, with mild days and cool nights being the theme of the past few days and appearing to be the theme of the upcoming period as well. We do have a few low percentage chances for precipitation in the forecast, but as of now, no major precipitation events appear to be in the forecast to break the dry spell that we've been having.

Generally, we can expect near normal temperatures tomorrow and through the weekend with mostly sunny skies, making for perfect weather to be outside enjoying a beautiful fall weekend.  Modeling then differs regarding the handling of a cutoff low that comes up from the south, with the Euro quashing it to our south and bringing in only sprinkles to the region, while the GFS brings the storm far enough north to allow some steady light rain to work its way into the state, especially in southern areas. Leaning towards just scattered showers, but will carry a chance of rain in the dailies from Sunday night through Monday night to account for the possibility of a GFS like solution. Otherwise, temperatures around normal.

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Monday and Tuesday will feature above normal temperatures as the onshore flow that is keeping us cool this weekend dies off and results in heat moving in from the strong ridge which has been a feature of the pattern for quite some time now. More chances of precipitation are possible on Wednesday as a strong cold front passes through the area, and temperatures look to return to normal/below normal for the end of the week.
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Here are the dailies:

Friday: Sunny, with highs around 70.
Saturday: Sunny, with highs around 70.
Sunday: Sunny, with highs around 70.
Monday: A chance of showers, otherwise, partly sunny, with highs in the low to mid 70s. Chance of precipitation is 25% in northern areas and 40% in southern areas.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise, sunny, then clouds develop, with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Chance of precipitation is 40%
Thursday: Cloudy early, then clearing to sunny by the afternoon, with highs in the mid 60s.

As many of you may have heard, there will be a Total Lunar Eclipse Sunday night, a rare and beautiful atmospheric phenomenon. While the forecast does carry clouds in it currently for Sunday night, a slight shift of the storm track south will allow for clear skies, and so make sure to keep an eye out for an update Sunday evening outlining any possible viewing window that may arise! You can find all the information about the eclipse, including viewing times, here: http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2015/22sep_lunareclipse/. 

Thanks for reading, and have a great weekend!
-SA
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