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Forecasters Discussion for 9/5/2015

9/5/2015

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Good evening to you from Southern Connecticut Weather!

The last couple of days have provided a refreshing break from the regime of hot and humid that we've been wrapped up in, but that break looks to come to an end, as we've got another period of heat and humidity approaching before a more substantial light at the end of the tunnel emerges towards the end of next week. Nothing really has changed in the overall forecast, with a strong ridge still pushing the storm track to the north of us and leaving us high and dry, as well as hot and humid as a result of strong southern air. Modeling suggests a possible change in this status quo towards the end of the week as the ridge begins to finally push east, as shown here in a comparison of modeled temperature departures for days 1-5 and 6-10. That change is in part due to a frontal passage bringing in cooler air that will approach from the west late in the week, and that will bring around a chance of showers and thunderstorms later in the forecast period as well. Lots of model disagreement as to timing, so for now, have just painted in a wide range of chance pops and will refine as we get closer.


The Dailies:

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the lower 80s.
Monday: Sunny and hot, with highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Tuesday: Sunny and very hot,with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.
Wednesday: Sunny and very hot, with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.
Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 40%.


Stay cool and thanks for reading SCW!
-SA

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