Good morning from Southern Connecticut Weather!
The past week has brought us our first real taste of fall, and with the pattern being reinforced, it looks as if summer is in retreat as we approach the start of Meteorological Fall on September 1st. The week ahead looks sunny, mostly dry, and seasonable, as our step down toward fall accelerates. Let's dive in.
The past week has brought us our first real taste of fall, and with the pattern being reinforced, it looks as if summer is in retreat as we approach the start of Meteorological Fall on September 1st. The week ahead looks sunny, mostly dry, and seasonable, as our step down toward fall accelerates. Let's dive in.
Above: the latest European Ensemble showing surface temperature anomalies in the week ahead. Although the coldest temperatures relative to normal will be in the Midwest, our are will be near normal, if not slightly below normal. Every week we have seasonable temperatures is another week that 90+ temperatures are harder to achieve.
Monday
Today brings a slight chance of rain as a developing non-tropical low moves to our east and a cold front moves in from the west. This will bring the chance of some showers and maybe a thunderstorm, but I do not expect anything severe and most are likely to stay dry. Temperatures will be in the 80s with some modest humidity in advance of the front. It may be cloudy early, but I don't expect overcast all day.
Monday
Today brings a slight chance of rain as a developing non-tropical low moves to our east and a cold front moves in from the west. This will bring the chance of some showers and maybe a thunderstorm, but I do not expect anything severe and most are likely to stay dry. Temperatures will be in the 80s with some modest humidity in advance of the front. It may be cloudy early, but I don't expect overcast all day.
Above: the 00z high resolution NAM depicting tomorrow precipitation chances. I don't expect widespread rain and storms.
Tuesday-Thursday
It's an easy forecast as the pattern becomes reinforced. Whatever modest humidity there was gets swept away by the cold front, and with high pressure taking over expect dry conditions and cooler than normal temperatures. Highs will land in the 70s with lows in the 50s at least inland. This is windows open weather!
Labor Day Weekend
It's hard to believe that Labor Day Weekend is right around the corner! Friday brings our next meaningful chance of rain, with another front poised to enter the region. We'll see if the timing changes any, but as it stands Friday should have some shower chances. Again, I'm not expecting any severe weather, and we've reached a point in the year where severe storms are not climatologically likely. Another sign that fall is in sight.
In the wake of the front, the rest of the weekend is looking excellent with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and sunny skies.
Tuesday-Thursday
It's an easy forecast as the pattern becomes reinforced. Whatever modest humidity there was gets swept away by the cold front, and with high pressure taking over expect dry conditions and cooler than normal temperatures. Highs will land in the 70s with lows in the 50s at least inland. This is windows open weather!
Labor Day Weekend
It's hard to believe that Labor Day Weekend is right around the corner! Friday brings our next meaningful chance of rain, with another front poised to enter the region. We'll see if the timing changes any, but as it stands Friday should have some shower chances. Again, I'm not expecting any severe weather, and we've reached a point in the year where severe storms are not climatologically likely. Another sign that fall is in sight.
In the wake of the front, the rest of the weekend is looking excellent with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and sunny skies.
Above: A GFS depiction of the front passing through the region Friday. Nothing special.
The Dailies
Monday: Decreasing clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of rain 30%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Friday: Increasing clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain 30%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Labor Day: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Finally, not much to mention in the tropics. That wave that we were watching became Tropical Storm Fernand, but Erin helped weaken the Atlantic ridge and that has carried the system well out to sea. The coming week looks quiet in the Atlantic.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
The Dailies
Monday: Decreasing clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of rain 30%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Friday: Increasing clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of rain 30%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Labor Day: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Finally, not much to mention in the tropics. That wave that we were watching became Tropical Storm Fernand, but Erin helped weaken the Atlantic ridge and that has carried the system well out to sea. The coming week looks quiet in the Atlantic.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
