What originally looked like a wet weekend turned out to be a beauty, with highs well up into the 70s across the state yesterday and, despite much cooler temperatures, an avoidance of any significant rain today. For the week ahead, the cooler weather more characteristic of late March than mid May will continue throughout the middle of the week before a shift to above normal temperatures arrives for the end of the week into the weekend.
Monday and Tuesday:
Cool and quiet weather rules the roost for early in the week as a cutoff low continues to persist to our north and east. Much like today, we will see some breezy gusts, especially in the afternoon hours, but shower activity is unlikely due to a combination of limited moisture availability and subsidence from the low to our east. Highs tomorrow will be similar to today, with the mercury settling in the mid to upper 50s across the state, while Tuesday will be a bit warmer as the low begins to move out.
A coastal low slides across the Mid-Atlantic and out to sea Tuesday evening into Wednesday, although as modeled now, it looks like we will be too far north for significant precipitation from this system. It is worth noting that guidance has, after showing a non-event for the past couple of model cycles, brought the storm far enough north to bring some scattered showers into the area, and should that trend continue, it may result in a steadier period of rain Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. For now though, I will stick with a chance of showers and allow Greg to re-evaluate on Tuesday if needed. Temps will be slightly below normal in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Here’s a look at the system on the GFS.
A weak clipper system passes to our north, but as of now it looks like any precipitation will be confined to central and northern New England. Aside from some clouds across the northern portion of the state, it should be another solid day, with highs in the upper 60s.
Friday – Sunday: As the northern clipper moves out, high pressure moves across the northeast, bringing clear skies, full sunshine and above normal temperatures. Highs will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s on Friday and in the low to mid 70s on Saturday and Sunday, so if you’re looking to get a jump on the unofficial start of summer the following weekend, this should be a great weekend to do it!
Here are modeled highs from the GFS(The euro is ~5 degrees cooler across the board and the forecast represents a blend of the two) for Friday-Sunday.