Fall officially began last week, and this week will bring fall-like conditions to the state! Overall, we are expecting a few shower chances, but the week should feature generally nice and dry conditions.
Monday
Tomorrow looks clear and nice, albeit seasonably warm. This should be the warmest day of the period, but nothing too bad with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Enjoy it if you like warm temps!
Tuesday
The second day of the work week is looking like our most unsettled day of the forecast period. A strong cold front will pass through the region and bring a chance of showers throughout the day. It'll be an umbrella day for sure, even though it won't rain the entire day. Some showers may be heavy. Highs will be a bit cooler than on Monday, but still in the low 70s.
Below: the 18z GFS depiction of Tuesday-Thursday. Tuesday doesn't look like a big rain event but rain showers could be heavy at times during the day. Thursday may bring an additional chance of showers.
Fall! After the strong front passes we see a decline in temperatures as we see strong cold air advecting in from the north. This will actually be due to an upper level low that will kick major hurricane Sam well out to sea. Wednesday will bring sunny and breezy conditions with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Thursday will bring the chance of showers depending on how close the upper low gets to the state, but highs will likely be in the low to mid 60s. I will keep rain chances low for now.
By Friday, we're right back to sunny and nice conditions. Highs should be in the low to mid 60s, feeling like fall!
Saturday-Sunday
Some of what happens this weekend will depend on the location of the upper level low, but for now, the guidance has it well to our east, keeping our weekend nice and sunny. Let's go with that for now.
Finally, as I mentioned earlier, major hurricane Sam is expected to stay well away from Connecticut. There will likely be some high surf and rip current risk later in the week at the beaches.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 50%.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and breezy with cooler temperatures. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of rain 20%.
Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with increasing clouds. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
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Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB