Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
If you like change, and mostly quiet conditions, this is your time of year. Unlike all the other seasons, this particular part of spring brings our least hazardous weather overall. By late April, the risk of extreme heat and cold are low, severe thunderstorm season is yet to arrive, big snowstorms are a thing of the past, and hurricane season isn't even a thought. By late April, all we're really concerned with are how comfortable or miserable temperatures are, and whether we get enough precipitation to minimize the only "common" seasonal risk this time of year--brush fires.
Last week brought the heat, with our first 90 degree day at BDL. Today brought much colder temperatures, rain, and even some snow and sleet to parts of the state. The week ahead will be similar to what most of our April has been--a seesaw that begins on the colder side, but tilts warm by the end of the week. Let's dive in.
If you like change, and mostly quiet conditions, this is your time of year. Unlike all the other seasons, this particular part of spring brings our least hazardous weather overall. By late April, the risk of extreme heat and cold are low, severe thunderstorm season is yet to arrive, big snowstorms are a thing of the past, and hurricane season isn't even a thought. By late April, all we're really concerned with are how comfortable or miserable temperatures are, and whether we get enough precipitation to minimize the only "common" seasonal risk this time of year--brush fires.
Last week brought the heat, with our first 90 degree day at BDL. Today brought much colder temperatures, rain, and even some snow and sleet to parts of the state. The week ahead will be similar to what most of our April has been--a seesaw that begins on the colder side, but tilts warm by the end of the week. Let's dive in.
Above: EPS temperature anomalies for the week ahead.
Monday-Tuesday
The start of the week is chilly. This time of the year average high temperatures are near 60, and after our cold front passage today it'll be a few days before we're back to normal.
Tomorrow should start sunny, but it will be a seasonably chilly day with increasing clouds and a chance of rain/snow showers. Not a washout by any means, and most locations likely stay dry. Tomorrow night will be cold, and much of the state with good radiational cooling conditions should see lows drop into the upper 20s. This is why we have freeze warnings up for southern Connecticut.
Tuesday will be a quieter day with temperatures a few degrees warmer and sunny conditions. Temperatures will still be below normal however.
Monday-Tuesday
The start of the week is chilly. This time of the year average high temperatures are near 60, and after our cold front passage today it'll be a few days before we're back to normal.
Tomorrow should start sunny, but it will be a seasonably chilly day with increasing clouds and a chance of rain/snow showers. Not a washout by any means, and most locations likely stay dry. Tomorrow night will be cold, and much of the state with good radiational cooling conditions should see lows drop into the upper 20s. This is why we have freeze warnings up for southern Connecticut.
Tuesday will be a quieter day with temperatures a few degrees warmer and sunny conditions. Temperatures will still be below normal however.
Above: The 00z HRRR showing the potential for rain/snow showers in CT tomorrow--note that there's not much to write home about. Most should stay dry.
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week will have minor shower chances as another system tries to move through the region, but much like Monday, I'm not expecting too much rain. As the deepest part of the trough bringing our colder temperatures departs, we will see temperatures closer to normal on Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Thursday looks sunny, dry, and even warmer.
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week will have minor shower chances as another system tries to move through the region, but much like Monday, I'm not expecting too much rain. As the deepest part of the trough bringing our colder temperatures departs, we will see temperatures closer to normal on Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Thursday looks sunny, dry, and even warmer.
Above: Euro depiction of surface conditions Wednesday-Thursday, with rain showers possible Wednesday as a weak low passes to our southwest.
Friday-Sunday
The weekend is looking like it could go either way right now. Currently, I lean toward a drier and warmer weekend with no backdoor cold fronts moving through the state, but guidance has not fully resolved how much cloud and shower activity will be nearby. As it stands, I'm expecting highs in the low to mid 60s each day.
The Dailies
Monday: Increasing clouds with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of precipitation 30%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cold. Highs in the low 50s.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of rain 30%.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Friday: Partly sunny and warmer. Highs in the low to mid 60s.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of showers 20%.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of showers 20%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
Friday-Sunday
The weekend is looking like it could go either way right now. Currently, I lean toward a drier and warmer weekend with no backdoor cold fronts moving through the state, but guidance has not fully resolved how much cloud and shower activity will be nearby. As it stands, I'm expecting highs in the low to mid 60s each day.
The Dailies
Monday: Increasing clouds with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of precipitation 30%.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cold. Highs in the low 50s.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of rain 30%.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Friday: Partly sunny and warmer. Highs in the low to mid 60s.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of showers 20%.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of showers 20%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
